Double Dutch, 16th June 2015
After the euphoria of ending last week with a 36.5/1 wining double, it didn’t take long for me to be brought back to earth with a bump.
3rd and 5th in a 5-horse race was followed by a non-runner and the last horse home in a 4-runner contest. An awful way to start the week and not one worth dwelling on, if truth be told.
Monday’s results were as follows:
Shady Lane : 3rd at 15/8 (adv 7/4)
Bella : 5th at 5/2 (adv 15/8)
Uptight : 4th at 6/4 (adv 4/1)
Just Us Two : N/R (adv 7/4)
Results to date:
597 winning selections from 2104 = 28.37%
188 winning bets in 545 days = 34.50%
P/L : +106.17pts (+9.74% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
I’m expecting better from these on Tuesday…
Sail And Return has won three times from just six efforts here at Stratford in the past, albeit over hurdles, but he did show that there’s plenty of life left in the old boy with a 4.5 length win over fences at Southwell a fortnight ago.
He’s fully at home round these parts and the good ground is perfect for this 11 yr old, who will readily deal with the extra two furlongs here (has has won twice round here over 3m3f after all!) and Sail And Return looks the pick of a fairly mediocre bunch at 7/2 BOG.
In mid-April, Owen Glendower returned to action after a 16 month absence from the track and was in the process of running a big race before falling 3 out. He followed that up with a victory in a Hunters Chase at Uttoxeter three weeks later before running a decent second at Bangor next/last time out.
He’s a former course winner (over hurdles) who is 2 from 2 in this grade and is 5 from 14 in fields of 11 or fewer runners and off a mark of 117 is still considerably lower than before he took the lengthy break, making Owen Glendower of serious interest at 4/1 BOG.
The good to firm ground here isn’t ideal for any of the runners in this contest, so it’s a fairly level playing field in that respect. The one I like most despite the going conditions is Richard Fahey’s filly Emerahldz, currently a 5/2 BOG chance aiming to be come Mr Fahey’s third winner of this race in the last 6 years.
Up to the end of last season, she had won 5 of 10 handicap outings and was placed on four other occasions, before taking 7 months off. She returned to action at York at the end of May and acquitted herself really well, beaten by less than 2.5 lengths. She’s entitled to have needed the outing and with that run under her belt, Emerahldz would be my pick here.
The lightly raced Sea The Skies (by Sea The Stars) has shown some ability in his five starts to date finishing 31218 so far. His last win came at Leicester off the back of almost 22 months off the track and his subsequent 6 lengths defeat at Newmarket might have had something to do with the bounce factor.
Sea The Stars progeny are profitable to follow blindly beyond at 1m3f and beyond, so it’ll be good to see how he fares on his first crack at a mile and a half today. There’s not much form to take from his last run, but he was ahead of Donny Rover at HQ last time out and the latter was a winner at York last Friday, so perhaps an 11/4 BOG wager on Sea The Skies might prove a good move.
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:
Sail And Return / Emerahldz @ 14.75/1 (7/2 & 5/2 : Coral, Hills & Stan James)
Sail And Return / Sea The Skies @ 15.88/1 (7/2 & 11/4 : Boylesports, Seanie Mac & Stan James)
Owen Glendower / Emerahldz @ 16.50/1 (4/1 & 5/2 : Coral, Hills & Stan James)
Owen Glendower / Sea The Skies @ 17.75/1 (4/1 & 11/4 : Boylesports, Seanie Mac & Stan James)