Double Dutch, 18th June 2015
Urcalin’s gutsy battling performance in landing the spoils at Uttoxeter gave him the honour of being our 600th winner for Double Dutch. Unfortunately, we couldn’t complement his win with another victory at Ripon, where we had to settle for second and third.
Once again, it was another day of “fine margins” and it was a length and a half on this occasion, barring us from a third winning double inside four days at 12/1.
Wednesday’s results were as follows:
Urcalin : WON at 3/1 (adv 11/4)
Highpower : 4th at 13/8 (adv 11/4)
Tamayuz Magic : 2nd at 15/8 (adv 9/4)
In Vino Veritas : 3rd at 6/4 (adv 7/2)
Results to date:
600 winning selections from 2112 = 28.41%
189 winning bets in 547 days = 34.55%
P/L : +113.11pts (+10.34% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
Thursday’s cards look tricky, but I’m going with these…
Par Three has won three of his last seven starts and twice in the last three and despite those last two wins coming in the Channel Islands, he sets the standard on form in what looks a really poor contest for the grade, it actually has mid-range Class 6 stamped all over it.
It’s hard to assess the standard of those two most recent wins, but he’s only 1lb higher than his win at Kempton in February over this trip. Jockey Luke Morris has a good record round this track and with horse having proven he stays the full 2 miles, Par Three has to be considered as a serious contender at 2/1 BOG.
My marginal preference, however, is for Alan Swinbank’s handicap debutant Virnon, who won two bumpers for Susan Corbett last winter before a switch of yards. Mr Swinbank considered him good enough to contest a Grade 2 bumper at Aintree in April, although he was soundly beaten by far better horses than he’ll face here.
Despite that defeat, he showed he stays the trip and will probably relish the extra distance today after showing promise in three flat maidens over inadequate trips. More is expected of Virnon now sent handicapping and I’d just about have him at 9/4 BOG over the favourite.
After a couple of promising efforts over 8.5 furlongs on soft/heavy ground, the step up to 1m4f on good ground was the key to getting Searching off the mark at Chester almost three weeks ago. The runner-up from that race has already turned back out and finished as runner-up again at two grades higher than this contest, putting the Chester run in a favourable light.
Roger Varian’s horses are coming into some fine form of late after what has been a quiet year by their own high standards and I wouldn’t be too surprised to see Searching follow up here with a win at 15/8 BOG. He wore blinkers for the first time at Chester and they’re reapplied again today, whilst jockey Paul Mulrennan’s form at this track is a bonus.
Tim Easterby has been amongst the winners of late, too and his Multellie must be the big danger, after a win and four places in his last five starts. He was a runner-up at Pontefract last time out, when he didn’t have the finishing speed to land a blow over 1m2f, but prior to that run he was a winner over today’s longer trip and that’s his only run at 1m4f.
Multellie runs off the same mark as last time out and with his pedigree backing up the thought that this trip is more suitable for him, he could make this a really interesting contest, especially if allowed to dominate and dictate the pace. 5/2 BOG is the best price here.
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:
Par Three / Searching @ 7.63/1 (2/1 & 15/8 : Paddy Power)
Par Three / Multellie @ 9.50/1 (2/1 & 5/2 : Betfred , Stan James & Totesport)
Virnon / Searching @ 8.34/1 (9/4 & 15/8 : Paddy Power)
Virnon / Multellie @ 11.25/1 (5/2 & 5/2 : Stan James)