Double Dutch, 27th June 2015
Newton’s Law was fairly comfortable in landing the finale at Newmarket by a length and a half going away last night and at 2/1 was a good half of a double that would have paid 11/1, had Sirens Cove not gone down by a head in the last on Wolverhampton’s card.
She was in with every chance of winning but her jockey dropped his whip inside the final furlong and that quite possibly cost him the race and us the double.
Whatever the reason, the race was lost, and as such…
Friday’s results were as follows:
Sirens Cove : 2nd at 3/1 (adv 11/4)
Sweet Dancer : 6th at 11/4 (adv 11/4)
Newtons Law : WON at 2/1 (adv 2/1)
Fairway to Heaven : 8th at 11/4 (adv 3/1)
Results to date:
609 winning selections from 2143 = 28.42%
192 winning bets in 554 days = 34.66%
P/L : +116.64pts (+10.51% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
Last picks of the week are as follows…
English Summer won this race last year, drops in class and has been eased down to his last winning mark. He comes here off the back of a good run at Haydock, where beaten by just 2.75 lengths into third place in a tougher contest than this. He’s a 3-time winner here on the Roodee and is 2/5 over course and distance.
Overall, he’s 7/25 at 12 to 12.5 furlongs, 2 from 5 in this grade and is 6 from 15 in races of 7 or fewer runners. He has also won six and finished a runner-up twice in the last 8 races where he has been sent off at 5/2 or shorter and with the money already coming today, English Summer would be my 2/1 BOG preference here.
Rowlestone Lass is another former course and distance winner, but her win was only two weeks ago and with just a 3lb rise to contend with, looks set for another bold bid here this afternoon. She stayed on well from the rear that day to pick her rivals off over the closing stages and with a couple of prominent runners in today’s field, she might well get the pace needed for her to pounce late on again.
Stamina is no issue here, as her three career wins have been over this trip, 1m 6f and 2m 0.5f, all 3 wins have come after 9 to 15 days since a previous run, all have been on left handed tracks and she’s 2 from 3 (121) at Class 4. She has the ideal profile for this contest and but for English Summer being in the line-up, Rowlestone Lass would be far shorter than the currently available 11/4 BOG.
Woofie is the form horse here, having finished 2131 in his four starts this year and improving with every run. He took the step back to truf in his stride easily last time out, when winning at Hamilton over a half furlong further than today. Despite having had 17 weeks off the track, he travelled well thorughout the race and gave the impression of just doing enough with plenty in reserve.
As a still-improving 3yr old, he’s expected/entitled to come on for having had that run and despite a 5lb rise for that win (the assessor clearly also thought he had more to give!), I’d want Woofie as my first pick here at 11/4 BOG.
Lopes Island looks interesting on handicap debut for Alan Swinbank, who has won this race three times in the last 10 yrs, but I have a marginal preference for Gerry The Glover, who represents the very much in-form Brian Ellison, whose horses just seem to love it here at Newcastle and the booking of Silvestre de Sousa is an added bonus in my eyes.
Gerry The Glover was a winner two starts ago by a length and a quarter over this trip at Haydock in a Class 3 contest, before being beaten into sixth place over the same track and trip five weeks ago. In fairness, he only went down by less than 5 lengths having stepped up another grade and now that he drops down from Class 2 to Class 4, should be far too good for most of his rivals here at 7/2 BOG.
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:
English Summer / Woofie @ 10.25/1 (2/1 & 11/4 : Hills & BetVictor)
English Summer / Gerry The Glover @ 12/1 (2/1 & 10/3 : generally)
Rowlestone Lass / Woofie @ 14.17/1 (10/3 & 5/2 : Paddy Power)
Rowlestone Lass / Gerry The Glover @ 17.78/1 (10/3 & 10/3 : Betfair SB)