Double Dutch, 29th June 2015
Gerry the Glover made good headway from the rear of the pack with a well-timed, staying-on run to become the latest Ellison/De Sousa winner at Newcastle, taking full advantage of a double drop in class to score at 15/8. Our other runner, Woofie was 6 lengths back in third place in a well strung out field. And the fact we’d got on the winner at 100/30, meant we’d a good payout coming…
…had Be Perfect not already spoiled the plans 40 minutes earlier. Unbeknown to me when I compiled the blog, the Chester race was being sponsored ay a client of my sister (she’s a PR-type thing, don’t ask!) and so she was there at the track. She rang me up to ask what would win that race and I suggested there wouldn’t be too much between the two I’d selected.
As it was, Rowlestone Lass fared best, beating English Summer by a good 2.5 lengths, but we had to settle for 2nd and 3rd, as Be Perfect made all and couldn’t be caught, winning by a length, depriving us of a double at 18.5/1 and my sister/her clients a winner of their own race.
I did, however, suggest a couple of other winners to her from the same card, so she and her friends at least went home happy!
Saturday’s results were as follows:
Rowlestone Lass : 2nd at 7/2 (adv 10/3)
English Summer : 3rd at 13/8 (adv 2/1)
Gerry The Glover : WON at 15/8 (adv 10/3)
Woofie : 3rd at 3/1 (adv 11/4)
Results to date:
610 winning selections from 2147 = 28.41%
192 winning bets in 556 days = 34.66%
P/L : +114.64pts (+10.31% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
First picks of the new week are as follows…
Sleeping Apache is in good form of late, having won here over course and distance in April and was a runner-up over C&D three weeks ago from a mark just 2lbs higher for that win. Sandwiched between the two Pontefract run was another runner-up finish over 5f at Hamilton.
There was no disgrace in going down to the very progressive Jan Van Hoof here three weeks ago and the third placed horse has also gone on to win since. At 2/1 BOG, Sleeping Apache looks a solid proposition, providing he can get away with conceding 6lbs to…
…Another Royal, who looks dangerous based on last season’s form. She finished the 2014 campaign with finishes of 223311 and although she hasn’t quite hit those heights just yey, she has been running far better than the bare results suggest. So far this season she has been 5th of 9 (after 173 days off), 3rd of 17 and 4th of 14.
So, she’s not quite got there yet, but has beaten plenty of other runners and the sum total of those three defeats is only six lengths. Closer inspection also shows she’s been a little unlucky in a couple of those runs, experiencing “traffic issues” in the bigger fields, but with just seven rivals here, Another Royal should find things more manageable at 10/3 BOG.
New Colours has been knocking on the door recently with back to back runner-up finishes over today’s course and distance, including a 1.75 length defeat to Villoresi two grades higher than today’s contest with that winner subsequently finishing a very good fourth (1.75 lengths) in the Cumberland Plate as recently as last Wednesday.
This is clearly an easier race that that defeat and with an easing of conditions down to good ground likely to suit him better, a repeat of how he ran against Villoresi should be more than enough to see New Colours finally win on grass at 5/2 BOG (Betfair SB).
He will, however, have to see off the consistent and in-form Card High to do so. He won back to back handicaps at the end of last season and has finished 1st and 2nd in his last two outings, having won over this trip at Newcastle a month ago.
He was then seen again at Hamilton 18 days ago, when going down by just a length and a quarter dropping back in trip by 1.5 furlongs and getting outsprinted to the line, having been caught inside the final furlong. He did very little wrong that day to be honest, but the trip was just too sharp for him and now stepping back up to 1m4.5f, Card High has every chance at 11/4 BOG (Coral)
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:
Sleeping Apache / New Colours @ 9.06/1 (15/8 & 5/2 : Betfair SB)
Sleeping Apache / Card High @ 10.25/1 (2/1 & 11/4 : Paddy Power)
Another Royal / New Colours @ 13.08/1 (10/3 & 9/4 : BetVictor & SkyBet)
Another Royal / Card High @ 14.17/1 (10/3 & 5/2 : BetVictor & SkyBet)