Double Dutch, 3rd July 2015

Double Dutch

Double Dutch

Double Dutch, 3rd July 2015

I got the finishing order of our runners right in both races yesterday, but found no winners. No winners means no doubles and ultimately no payout!

IT Guru beat Priory as expected, but I was surprised to see 3.5 lengths and 2 places between them as IT Guru finished as runner-up in a race he threw away by running really wide off the final bend.

He finished strongly but had forfeited the lead with the poor turn and eventually went down by three parts of a length.

It was then a case of second and third at Perth, but this wasn’t close, nor were we unlucky. Honourable gent beat Moonlight Maggie by a good 9 lengths, but he in turn was 4.5 lengths behind a well backed winner, Bunclody who attracted heavy support all day and the money was (on this occasion!) proven right.

Thursday’s results were as follows:

IT Guru : 2nd at 6/4 (adv 6/4)
Priory : 4th at 3/1 (adv 7/4)
—————————————————-
Honourable Gent : 2nd at 9/4 (adv 7/4)
Moonlight Maggie : 3rd at 7/2 (adv 9/4)

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Results to date:
615 winning selections from 2162 = 28.45%
195 winning bets in 560 days = 34.82%

Stakes: 1119.50pts
Returns: 1243.19pts
P/L : +123.69pts (+11.05% ROI)

REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS

Friday’s selections are as follows…

3.45 Newton Abbot :

More Bucks showed considerable promise over hurdles, finishing third three times in four outings before winning here at Newton Abbot last time out. That was a little over five weeks ago when turning over the 10/11 fav Towering, who turned back out and won on Wednesday. He’s an early switcher to chasing and is very interesting off the same mark as that LTO win.

Breeding (by Presenting) suggests he’ll make for a decent chaser at Class 2/3 over trips of 2m3f to 3m3f and it makes sense now to switch to fences whilst in good form and still on the rise. Trainer and jockey both have excellent records here at this Devon venue and the only possible negative for More Bucks is if too much rain arrives. If the ground isn’t affected too badly, then he looks to be in with a shout at 3/1 BOG.

The one to beat, though, is likely to be Gone Too Far, who was a comfortable winner by 6 lengths over fences at Uttoxeter last time out, three weeks ago. He was three lengths clear and pulling away approaching the last when his nearest rival fell, handing him an easy run to the line and if driven to a finish he would probably have won by further.

He has run well on ground with some cut to it in the past and has a good record with today’s rider and I just think the benefit of having had a recent winning run over fences just tips the balance in favour of Gone Too Far at 9/4 BOG today, but I’d watch More Bucks, as he will win races over fences.

*

4.10 Doncaster:

It will probably pay to side with a pair of unexposed 3yr olds both expected to improve for a step up in trip today.  Frenzified makes just her 6th start today and although beaten into third place on her handicap debut at Nottingham three weeks ago, had already won over 1m2f in her previous outing at Salisbury.

By Yeats out of Librettista suggests both speed and stamina and I’d expect her to improve for a step up in trip, especially considering she’s bottom weight here, getting at least 5lbs from everyone and up to 19lbs from the top weight, Kallisha. Trainer Luca Cumani does very well here with his 3 to 5 yr old non-sprinters and Frenzified has a great chance here at 9/4 BOG.

The one she’s likely to have to conquer, though, is the very lightly raced filly Distain. Beaten by just  a length and a half at Ascot on debut in early May over 1m2f, finishing 3 lengths and 2 places ahead of Winter Serenade who is 2 from 2 (both at today’s trip) since that run.

Distain then ran at Redcar just over five weeks ago and whilst it has been suggested that there wasn’t much to beat that day, she did her job and waited until the final furlong to quickly put the race to bed, easing clear and then easing down to win by almost 4 lengths. You can only beat what you’re faced with and she’s an interesting handicap debutante here at 7/4 BOG off what looks a reasonable opening mark of 80.

4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:

Gone Too Far / Distain @ 7.94/1 (9/4 & 7/4 : Boylesports & Seanie Mac)
Gone Too Far / Frenzified @ 9.56/1 (9/4 & 9/4 : Boylesports & Seanie Mac)
More Bucks / Distain @ 10/1 (3/1 & 7/4 : Stan James)
More Bucks / Frenzified @ 11.19/1 (11/4 & 9/4 : Hills)

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