Double Dutch, 7th July 2015
Monday was a poor start to the week and probably one not worth dwelling on to be honest!
For the record, though, Falcarragh and Marie Des Anges were 3rd and lasat of five runners at Worcester, beaten by 5.25 lengths and 17.25 lengths respectively!
And then at Roscommon, it was almost as bad with Escondida and Haraz coming home second and last of six, beaten by 0.75 lengths and 14.5 lengths on a day to forget.
Monday’s results were as follows:
Falcarragh : 3rd at 11/4 (adv 2/1)
Marie Des Anges : 5th at 11/4 (adv 2/1)
Escondida : 2nd at 9/4 (adv 2/1)
Haraz : 3rd at 13/8 (adv 9/4)
Results to date:
616 winning selections from 2172 = 28.36%
195 winning bets in 563 days = 34.64%
P/L : +117.69pts (+10.49% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
I could do with better on Tuesday evening from…
Childrens List won a bumper in April coming back from 19 weeks off the track and the form of that one seems to be working out well enough with 5 wins and 3 places from 18 subsequent outings by the horses in that race. He was then a reasonable 3rd of 10 on his hurdles debut before going all to make all in victory next/last time out at Tramore just over five weeks ago.
The form from that race is looking good too, as ther runners in 2nd, 4th and 5th (beaten by 0.5L, 5.25L & 7.25L) have all reappeared to win next time out and Ruby Walsh in the saddle once more today, 9/4 BOG for Childrens List could look quite generous here.
The presence of the 2/1 BOG Riviera Sun is keeping the above horse at a decent price, though as he seem to be slightly more popular this morning. I think he’s a decent enough runner and comes here having won two of his last three starts, but both were over the minimum 2m trip and he hasn’t really proved himself over this distance just yet.
The booking of Barry Geraghty seems a positive indciation of intentions, but if I were placing a bet on this race as a single bet, I’d probably want more than 2/1 here. However, as a backup to my preferred option and hopefully as half of a winning double, Riviera Sun is worth keeping.
Juventas carries a penalty for a win over course and distance here last week, but this 3 yr old filly does get the benefit of an 8lb allowance for her age in an open age handicap, which is sure to help, especially as last week’s win was against just three year olds with no allowance. The same 7lb claimer jockey is on board again this time and a similar level of performance could well be enough here at 3/1 BOG.
But she’ll have to beat Welsh Inlet to do so. This one comes here seeking a hat-trick after back-to-back wins at Lingfield on both Poly and Turf. This 7yr old mare is far more experienced than Juventas and might just be a little too canny for the youngster.
Welsh Inlet has 3 wins from 10 here at Brighton, including a C&D success she’s also won six times over trip and despite having already had 94 races, this daughter of Kheleyf now looks to be in her best form yet and if you think she can win again, 11/4 BOG looks quite attractive.
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:
Riviera Sun / Welsh Inlet @ 10.25/1 (2/1 & 11/4 : generally)
Riviera Sun / Juventas @ 12/1 (2/1 & 10/3 : Boylesports & Seanie Mac)
Childrens List / Welsh Inlet @ 11.19/1 (9/4 & 11/4 : generally)
Childrens List / Juventas @ 13.08/1 (9/4 & 10/3 : Boylesports & Seanie Mac)