Double Dutch, 10th July 2015
No hat-trick to report, I’m afraid, as Thursday proved to be a bad day at the office for DD.
Third and fourth of eight (after five pulled out at Doncaster) was followed some twenty minutes later by a non-runner and the third of six at Newmarket. Defeats by 1.5 lengths and 3 lengths show we weren’t far away, but in a sport like ours a miss is as good as a mile!
Thursday’s results were as follows:
Balliol : 3rd at 6/1 (adv 10/3)
Sleeping Apache : 4th at 13/8 (adv 7/2)
Bossy Guest : 3rd at 11/8 (adv 5/2)
Estidhkaar : non-runner (adv 7/4)
Results to date:
620 winning selections from 2183 = 28.40%
197 winning bets in 566 days = 34.81%
P/L : +126.34pts (+11.17% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
Friday’s selected races are…
Lydias Place is interesting here on her handicap debut, coming into the race on a hat-trick after wins in maiden and novice company both over today’s 5f trip. She reared in the stalls last time out, but still had enough pace about her to get to the front early and stayed on well to hold her rivals off.
She carries a penalty for her win last time out but with Rob Hornby (who is 2/2 on her back) claiming 5lbs today, Lydias Place looks competitively weighted, even if not thrown in here and she stands a very good chance of extending her career record to three wins from four at 3/1 BOG.
Also seeking a third win in four at 3/1 BOG is Wedge, whose overall record to date reads 8101. He failed to hold on when attempting to make all on debut, blowing out in the final furlong, but has shown considerable improvement since to win at Chelmsford and also very comfortably at Haydock just 8 days ago.
I’m happy enough to overlook the duck egg on his form line (reiterating Matt’s thoughts that the numbers on their own mean nothing!), as that came in a Listed event at Royal Ascot, when beaten by almost 12 lengths at 100/1. That said, he did finish ahead of 10 other runners deemed worthy of that calibre of race, so maybe Wedge has more to offer here at a more realistic level.
Not that I’d be able to pick between the two and nor would I be too interested in either at the current prices as single bets, but I can’t see this race not being won by one of the two joint favourites, so in alphabetical order…
Easton Angel was a comfortable winner of her first two starts at Musselburgh and then Beverley in May, before failing to land her hat-trick last time out. In fairness, though, she was a little unlucky to bump into a Wesley Ward flyer in the shape of Acapulco at Royal Ascot that day.
She was drawn 1 of 20 with the winner over in stall 20 and although it’s conjecture on my part, she might have been closer to winning than her 1.5 length defeat had she been over the other side and able to challenge. That said, she was well clear of the chasing pack (2.5, 5 and 7 lengths back to the placers) and Easton Angel is expected to handle the step up in trip today and is a real possible at 7/4 BOG today.
As is Illuminate, who did win at Royal Ascot over today’s trip three weeks ago. The Hannon/Hughes/2yr old combo is always to be feared and the manner of which this horse eased to victory in the Albany really caught the eye. The good to firm ground won’t be an issue here, as both her previous runs (and wins ) were both over today’s trip on similar ground.
One small stat for you to take from this is that when the Hannon yard last won the Albany back in 2010 with Memory, not only was Richard Hughes the jockey back then, but Memory also followed up with a win in this race, as did Jewel In The Sand under Mr Hughes back in 2004! You can get 7/4 BOG about history repeating itself with Illuminate.
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:
Lydias Place / Easton Angel @ 10/1 (3/1 & 7/4 : generally)
Lydias Place / Illuminate @ 10/1 (3/1 & 7/4 : Betway, SkyBet & Paddy Power)
Wedge / Easton Angel @ 10/1 (3/1 & 7/4 : BetVictor)
Wedge / Illuminate @ 10/1 (3/1 & 7/4 : BetVictor & Coral)