Double Dutch, 13th July 2015
Last week was a good one for the Double Dutch, but I was unable to round it off with a win on Saturday, as Spage Age’s 4-lengths defeat as a runner-up was the difference between a loss and an 11.2/1 double.
In fairness, although Space Age put plenty of distance between himself and the 6 runners behind him, four lengths probably flattered him as the eventual winner, Dartmouth, was pulling further away at the finish.
This meant that Ajaadat’s success at Salisbury later in the evening was more of a pride restoration mission than anything else, but he defied a drift in the market to record a workmanlike one length win.
Saturday’s results were as follows:
Space Age : 2nd at 9/4 (adv 11/4)
King Bolete : 4th at 5/2 (adv 7/2)
Ajaadat : WON at 9/4 (adv 15/8)
Hard to Handel : 5th at 7/4 (adv 7/2)
Results to date:
623 winning selections from 2191 = 28.43%
198 winning bets in 568 days = 34.86%
P/L : +127.84pts (+11.26% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
Not much quality about today, but every race has a winner…
Sciustree has only had three runs to date, but all were over today’s track, trip and grade and all were improved efforts from his previous outing. He finished 632 in those three runs over 7 weeks around the turn of the year before being put back in the box for the last 168 days.
Yet, provided he shows no ill effects/rustinees for the lay-off, he’s be the one for me here, if the progression continued.
His trainer Marco Botti has a good record at his venue and is a dab hand at picking the right races for his runners’ handicap debuts and allied to the recent track success of the Atzeni/Botti partnership, it’s Sciustree at 5/2 BOG for me in this one. The backup plan is the slightly more exposed/experienced, yet still lightly raced El Fenix, who got off the mark at the fifth time of asking at Goodwood 24 days ago.
The official margin of victory was just a length after he’d idled once hitting the front with a furlong to run and effectively had the race won. This is a little tougher for him here and that should make him stick at the task and produce an improved effort.
There is, of course, no guarantees that will happen, but for a horse that has already stayed further than this in the past, the extra furlong here tonight should also bring a bit more out of him on his A/W debut. Admittedly, he’s not the one I’d expect to win, but at 3/1 BOG I would fancy El Fenix to beat all bar Sciustree and that’s how DD works sometimes!
Keep In Line caught the eye when winning on his turf debut eight weeks ago at Ripon over 1m1f after two unsuccessful runs on the A/W over shorter distances. What seemed apparent from his win was that he needed further still and to stay on grass. That said, it was a surprise to see him pitched into the Class 2 King George V Stakes at Royal Ascot next/last time out for his handicap debut.
He was clearly out of his depth there, finishing 15th of 17th, but he did stay the 1m4f trip well enough to suggest that today’s 1m3.5f would be fine. He’s had almost four weeks to get over that run and back down in class in a smaller field, we should see him in a different light. He runs off a mark of 85 today and having beaten an 84-rated horse at Ripon, Keep In Line looks to be the one to beat here at 7/4 BOG.
L’Ingenue is interesting too, having already won over this trip two starts ago and she’ll be looking to bounce back from a disappointing run on her own handicap debut last time out where she found the nature of the constantly turning tight Chester track not to her liking.
Her trainer and jockey have good joint and independent records here at Windsor and both are in good form of late and as Ralph Beckett’s only runner at the meeting, L’Ingenue is his only hope of any prize money and can be backed at 11/4 BOG.
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:
Sciustree / Keep In Line @ 8.19/1 (5/2 & 13/8 : Betfair, Coral, Hills & SkyBet)
Sciustree / L’Ingenue @ 12.13/1 (5/2 & 11/4 : Coral, Hills & SkyBet)
El Fenix / Keep In Line @ 9.50/1 (3/1 & 13/8 : Generally)
El Fenix / L’Ingenue @ 14/1 (3/1 & 11/4 : Hills, SkyBet & Stan James)