Double Dutch, 17th July 2015

Double Dutch

Double Dutch, 17th July 2015

Thursday started off just like Wednesday with a winner and a third place in our first race, but that ended up being as good as it got, as the similarities ended.

Our two runners were only a nose apart in the second race, but both had been caught and passed late on to finish third and fourth in a finish so tight that little more than half a length covered the first four home.

Near misses might well be exciting to watch, but they don’t pay the bills!

Thursday’s results were as follows:

Martini Time : WON at 9/4 (adv 5/2)
Roaring Forties : 3rd at 9/4 (adv 2/1)
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Alaskan Wing : 3rd at 15/8 (adv 2/1)
Pull The Pin : 4th at 2/1 (adv 7/2)

Results to date:
627 winning selections from 2207 = 28.41%
199 winning bets in 572 days = 34.79%

Stakes: 1143.50pts
Returns: 1268.37pts
P/L : +124.87pts (+10.92% ROI)

REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS

These are the selected races for Friday…

3.40 Newbury :

Opel Tiara was a comfortable winner on debut at Wolverhampton in a Class 5 maiden a couple of months ago and then stepped up three grades to run at Beverley, where she was second only to Easton Angel (who was subsequently 2nd in the Gr2 Queen Mary) by just a length. Then, for her third and latest run, she finished 7th at Ascot a month ago.

Seventh doesn’t look great as a bare number, but if you consider she was 7th of 27, drawn on the “wrong side” of the track (she was actually first home on the stands side) and it was her first effort in a Listed contest in which she was beaten by less than six lengths staying on strongly at the finish, then Opel Tiara is probably worth another chance at 2/1 BOG stepping up in trip.

Tasleet, on the other hand, has already proven he gets the trip with a cosy 3 length win last time out, albeit at a much lower grade than this one. His trainer and his jockey both have good records at this track and he’s by Showcasing, whose 2 yr olds have excelled over the shorter trips of late.

That win last time out was only his second run, having finished fourth at York a month ago, where it took some time for him to settle, but finished strongly once the penny dropped. He was only beaten by 3 lengths that day and both the runner-up and third placed horse have reappeared to win since and if you like Tasleet, he can be backed at 5/2 BOG.

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7.50 Newmarket :

Crew Cut is a former course and distance winner who comes here to run off the same mark as when performing really well in a better race than this last time out. He beat all bar the progressive Dawn’s Early Light (who was completing back to back wins) at Ascot last Friday with ten other rivals behind him. Only one horse (Midnight Rider 10th of 12) has reappeared since, but he was a winner dropping down to this class at Chepstow yesterday. Crew Cut is priced at 5/2 BOG to follow suit.

On paper, Syrian Pearl‘s recent form isn’t up to much, but we all know the dangers of completely relying on those numbers to make a pick. She completed a hat-trick of handicap wins around this time last year and ran really well to finish second of thirteen over today’s course and distance four weeks ago.

She was probably unlucky to run into the progressive Direct Times (who was taking his record to 31121 that day) going down by just a length and a quarter, but she was 3 lengths clear of the pack. Extrasolar was back in fifth that day, but he has already reappeared to win at Bath and if you think Syrian Pearl can do the same, you can back her at up to 3/1 BOG.

4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:

Opel Tiara / Crew Cut @ 9.50/1 (2/1 & 5/2 : generally)
Opel Tiara / Syrian Pearl @ 9.50/1 (2/1 & 5/2 : generally)
Tasleet / Crew Cut @ 11.25/1 (5/2 & 5/2 : Betfred & Totesport)
Tasleet / Syrian Pearl @ 11.25/1 (5/2 & 5/2 : Stan James, Betfred & Totesport)