Double Dutch, 23rd July 2015
It’s not often you see the top two in the market of an 8-runner handicap be the last two home, but it happened yesterday and I’d picked/backed for the Doubles!
So, after that Bath race we were done for the day, although the contest at Sandown offered an opportunity for me to save face and salvage a bit of pride. The task was made harder by my preferred option, Wekeyll, being withdrawn, but American Artist’s strong finish under a William Buick drive at least meant I found one winner, as…
Wednesday’s results were as follows:
Strictly The One : 7th at 7/2 (adv 7/2)
Senor George : 8th at 3/1 (adv 5/2)
American Artist : WON at 13/8 (adv 5/2)
Wekeyll : N/R (adv 7/4)
Results to date:
632 winning selections from 2225 = 28.40%
201 winning bets in 577 days = 34.84%
P/L : +132.81pts (+11.51% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
No winners on Tuesday and one on Wednesday, we now seek a pair from these on Thursday evening…
Andrew Balding does really well with his handicap debutants and his unexposed 3yo handicappers also have a good record and Bishops Leap looks likely to be his next winner from those categories. He never raced as a 2yr old and made his debut at Windsor just over 7 weeks ago over today’s 1m2f trip, finishing a very creditable third of ten and only 2 lengths off the pace.
The winner and the runner-up have both won since, as did Bishops Leap on his only other run, winning over today’s trip at Lingfield in late June. His opening handicap mark of 80 isn’t a gimme, but it’s a level he should be able to run to quite easily and if he does, then he has an excellent chance at 9/4 BOG (Coral).
Royal Toast, on the other hand, will want to play a part too and the 5/2 BOG on offer from Bet365 might be a little “big” about a horse who has been placed in both handicap runs to date. He was third and beaten by 5 lengths at Goodwood in a Class 5 contest five weeks ago, but ran far better next/last time out, finishing third again, but only by less than 2 lengths.
And that was after stepping up two classes to C3 and dropping down in trip. He was staying on well at the end comiong from off a quick pace and the step back up to 1m2f allied to a drop in class makes Royal Toast a big danger/player here tonight for me.
Margaret’s Mission arrives here on top form having rattled up a hat-trick of handicap wins over a mile recently. She has won all three of her races with today’s jockey and comes here as the only previous course winner. She acts perfectly well on this quicker ground and now drops down in trip in a bid to combat a rise in weight and a step up in class. If in the same mood as last seen a fortnight, she’ll take all the beating at 7/2 BOG.
And the one who might do that is Aljafer, who is going the opposite way ie coming down in class to meet her. She won her maiden on her second and final run of last season and has made the frame in all four subsequent handicap contests. Her latest effort at Newmarket almost a fortnight ago was probably her best to date and she seems to be progressing well.
She’s more experienced at the 7f trip than Margaret’s Mission and the level achieved in finshing fourth LTO, beaten by just 2.25L in a £16,000 Class 2 contest is every bit as good as the other horse’s wins. MuffriHa was only a length or so ahead that day and she herself has since won by four lengths. Aljafer is priced at 5/2 BOG to follow suit.
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:
Bishops Leap / Aljafer @ 9.50/1 (2/1 & 5/2 : Hills)
Bishops Leap / Margaret’s Mission @ 13.08/1 (9/4 & 10/3 : Coral)
Royal Toast / Aljafer @ 11.25/1 (5/2 & 5/2 : Hills)
Royal Toast / Margaret’s Mission @ 13.63/1 (9/4 & 7/2 : Betfair)