Double Dutch, 31st July 2015
A pair or runners-up was all I could manage yesterday, I’m afraid.
One Pekan was caught on the line and lost by a head with Royal Altitude a further 3 places and 3 lengths back in the running order.
Whilst later, our two runners at Epsom were only a length apart, but we had to settle for minor honours, as Star Asset ran out a convincing if somewhat surprising winner at 12/1.
Thursday’s results were as follows:
One Pekan : 2nd at 7/2 (adv 7/2)
Royal Altitude : 5th at 7/2 (adv 5/1)
Guiding Light : 2nd at 9/4 (adv 9/4)
Dear Bruin : 3rd at 3/1 (adv 7/2)
Results to date:
639 winning selections from 2253 = 28.36%
202 winning bets in 584 days = 34.59%
P/L : +123.28pts (+10.56% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
Hoping to end July amongst the winner via…
Not for the first time this week, I find myself in full agreement with both the bookies and our very own Matt Bisogno about a big race at Goodwood. Matt has previewed this race right here and the general consensus is that it’s between The Corsican and Connecticut.
The Corsican has won both his races here at Goodwood to date and ran really well in a strong-looking Gr1 contest last time out, he has won at this trip before, he’s 3 from 4 under Jim Crowley and has won both his good ground races. Conditions look more suitable than last time out, where wasn’t at all disgraced by finishing 3.25 lengths off the pace and is a serious contender here at 15/8 BOG.
Connecticut‘s last run saw him win a Listed contest by some 16 lengths and whilst it could be argued that it wasn’t the strongest race ever run of its type and that he only had three others to beat, you can only beat what you’re faced with on the day.
The runner-up that day, Nancy from Nairobi was herself only beaten by half a length here 2 days ago, beating my SotD horse into 3rd place in the process and with Connecticut‘s handlers having won this race 3 times in the last 8 runnings, Team Cumani will be hopeful, if not entirely confident of a win here at around 100/30 BOG.
Jonjo O’Neill’s horses are going well again at the moment and he’s represented here by Amuse Me, who now switches back to hurdles after a convincing win over fences at Worcester eight days ago, getting home by over three lengths with something in hand. He’s actually 5/24 over hurdles and looks a decent chance at the weights today.
He runs here off a mark of 91, even before an 8lb jockey claim, yet was a winner last week over fences off 99, whilst he’s 3/5 over hurdles off marks in the 90’s and has actually won off 104 over timber in the past, putting Amuse Me high up my shortlist for this one at 11/4 BOG.
Powderonthebonnet is my other option here after the defection of a Midnight Legend offspring! Beaten by less than two lengths last time out over this trip at Uttoxeter a week ago, his jockey’s claim puts him 3lbs better off here in what looks a slightly weaker contest.
He’s sent back out today to get another run under his belt before a 9lb hike in weight for that last effort, so the handicapper seems to think he’s far better than bare results and if, as appears, he’s thrown in here, then 5/2 BOG about Powderonthebonnet mightn’t be a bad shout.
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:
The Corsican / Powderonthebonnet @ 9.06/1 (15/8 & 5/2 : Coral & Betfair)
The Corsican / Amuse Me @ 9.78/1 (15/8 & 11/4 : Coral)
Connecticut / Powderonthebonnet @ 14.17/1 (10/3 & 5/2 : Bet365)
Connecticut / Amuse Me @ 14.17/1 (10/3 & 5/2 : Bet365)