Double Dutch, 5th August 2015

Double Dutch

Double Dutch

Double Dutch, 5th August 2015

Tuesday proved to be yet another frustrating day for us, as once again we found a winner, but only had a placer to pair it with.

Of course, it means we’re constantly on the right track and that the selections are good, but coming close doesn’t put points on the board.

On this occasion Elis Eliz was a length and a half away from landing us a near-12/1 return and but for a slow start, who knows?

Tuesday’s results were as follows:

Amour de Nuit : WON at 10/11 (adv 15/8)
Duke Street : 2nd at 13/8 (adv 5/2)
The exacta paid £2.90.
Elis Eliz : 3rd at 7/4 (adv 7/2)
Bertie Blu Boy : 5th at 5/2 (adv 5/2)

Results to date:
643 winning selections from 2269 = 28.34%
202 winning bets in 588 days = 34.35%

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Stakes: 1175.50pts
Returns: 1290.78pts
P/L : +115.28pts (+9.81% ROI)


And on to Wednesday…

4.40 Pontefract :

Richard Fahey’s runners tend to go really well here at Pontefract, especially at this lower end of the spectrum and over trips of a mile or shorter and this suggests that Chiswick Bey has every opportunity of maintaining his recent fine form with a view to going in at 100/30 BOG.

He won a couple of handicaps (C5 & C3) earlier in the “summer” and was only beaten by three quarters of a length at a higher grade than this 11 days ago. A drop in class here and the booking of Samantha Bell are both of interest to me. The class drop obviously increases his chances and Ms Bell’s claim effectively makes Chiswick Bey a pound lighter, as well as her having a 22.1% strike rate (19/86 for 43pts @ 50% ROI) on the Fahey runners this year.

The big danger is the well fancied and 9/4 BOG favourite Danas Present, who also drops down in class today and can be considered very unlucky not to be coming here off the back of a win at Glorious Goodwood, where he envountered traffic issues in a 16-runner field and got out just a fraction too late. He fairly flew home, but went down by just a head at 33/1!

He is a 5-time winner over today’s trip and has already won three times this year and with trainer Tom Dascombe having a decent record here at this venue, I think we can expect another good performance from Danas Present off the same mark of 78 as that narrow Goodwood defeat.


8.20 Newcastle :

Certainly not the best race you’ll see this week or even today. In fact, not even at this meeting for that matter, but the weakness of this C6 handicap represents an excellent opportunity for the 5/2 BOG Pacngo to record a 12-day double after finally getting of the mark at the 8th time of asking at Thirsk recently. This son of Paco Boy is partnered by promising 5lb claimer Rachel Richardson for this run and her claim more than compensated for a small 2lb rise in weight for that win.

The runner-up then finished 2nd again nine days ago, before winning by 3.25 lengths five days ago, whilst the third placed horse at Thirsk was only beaten by a length at Catterick yesterday. Pacngo could be one of those to benefit from a rise in confidence after finally winnnig and not only is he effectively 3lbs lighter, it is also hoped that the first-time application of a hood will help get a little bit more from him.

As a backup plan, there’s very little winning or even decent form to go off, but one that might look a bit of a punt yet still interesting is the 9/2 BOG Yorkshire. Off the track for 232 days and making another yard debut (this is his 4th trainer inside 12 months!), you’d be excused in thinking he’s already had his time after just 6 starts.

However, David O’Meara is the latest handler asked to get the best out of this Tagula gelding. And in fairness, he does do well with new recruits and also with horses returning from long lay-offs, so the market will probably be a good indicator here about a horse who showed some promise in three maidens last year, before clearly being given far too high an opening handicap mark of 63 for the first of his three handicap runs.

That mark was dropped by 2lbs after each defeat, so he was last seen getting beaten on the A/W off 59. He’s back on turf, well rested, representing new yard and is now only rated at 57. Mr O’Meara has entrusted the ride to Josh Doyle and if Josh’s 7lb claim can’t reduce Yorkshire to a workable weight today, then I’m not entirely sure what needs to be done!

4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:

Danas Present / Pacngo @ 9.50/1 (2/1 & 5/2 : Betfair, Coral, SkyBet & Paddy)
Danas Present / Yorkshire @ 15.50/1 (2/1 & 9/2 : Stan James)
Chiswick Bey / Pacngo @ 13.08/1 (10/3 & 9/4 : BetVictor)
Chiswick Bey / Yorkshire @ 19.63/1 (11/4 & 9/2 : Stan James)

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