Double Dutch, 13th August 2015

Double Dutch

Double Dutch

Double Dutch, 13th August 2015

Back to back doubles have put a happier complexion upon DD’s figures and whilst I’m still making up ground lost over the past few weeks, yesterday’s 13.5/12 double was very welcome indeed.

For the record, Faery Song won by a length at Salisbury, despite conceding weight all round and then Burnt Cream also defied top weight to win from the rear at Bath.

In amongst all the excitement, Burnt Cream also became our 650th winning selection.

Wednesday’s results were as follows:

Faery Song : WON at 15/8 (adv 19/10)
Dark Avenger : u/p (5th) at 9/4 (adv 3/1)
Burnt Cream : WON at 4/1 (adv 7/2)
Top Cop : u/p (6th) at 2/1 (adv 9/4)

Results to date:
650 winning selections from 2297 = 28.30%
205 winning bets in 595 days = 34.34%

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Stakes: 1189.50pts
Returns: 1308.20pts
P/L : +118.70pts (+9.98% ROI)


Thursday’s hat-trick bid looks like this…

4.35 Beverley :

Mark Johnston’s horses go well here at Beverley, particularly those running at a mile to a mile and a half and also those running in Class 4 to 6 contests. Since both of those apply here, the 3/1 BOG Spirit of Wezda is of immediate interest and despite being headed late on and going down by a length at Carlisle just two days ago, he has been running consistently well and this looks an easier task (on paper, at least!) in what seems a fairly mediocre contest…

…one that probably won’t take too much winning, which could open the door for La Superba to take the opportunity of finally breaking her duck after 8 defeats. She has finished fourth on her last four starts, but each time she has suggested a win is due once ideal conditions were found. She faded in the closing 2f last time out and now drops back two furlongs.

Cheekpieces are also applied and the quicker ground should suit her far better than the soft ground encountered last time out. It has clearly been a case of trial and error for this one, but I think the Elsworth team are as close as they’re going to get with today’s conditions and that’s possibly why La Superba is the 11/4 BOG favourite here today.


6.15 Lingfield :

The Charlie Bishop / Mick Channon partnership is a successful one, particularly here at Lingfield and in Wee Jean, they have a Group horse in fine form. She was beaten by less than a length in Listed Class earlier in the “summer” and comes here on a hat-trick after wins at Chester and Newmarket last month off marks of 85 and 90.

She is, of course, up in weight again, but a 4lb rise for a 2 length win at Class 2 doesn’t look too bad as she now drops in class to run off a mark still 6lbs lower than that Listed class defeat and there’s nothing of that calibre here today. Win or lose, 3/1 BOG (Boylesports) looks generous about Wee Jean.

That’s probably because the market also features a surprising favourite in the shape of the 5/2 BOG Aljafer. I’m not saying she’s not talented, but despite great consistency (never out of the first four in all 7 starts), she only has one win to her name and is up 3lbs for a defeat by a neck last time out. She was behind Mambo Paradise that day and the latter was well beaten as recently as last Saturday, which doesn’t readd to well for Aljafer.

That said, she is consistent, she gets the trip, has won here over this trip (albeit on A/W) and doesn’t mind the quicker ground. I think that she’s the best option after Wee Jean for the doubles, but I’d probably not back Aljafer at 5/2 BOG in a single.

4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:

La Superba / Aljafer @ 12.13/1 (11/4 & 5/2 : Stan James)
La Superba / Wee Jean @ 13.06/1 (11/4 & 11/4 : generally)
Spirit of Wezda / Aljafer @ 13/1 (3/1 & 5/2 : Boylesports & Seanie Mac)
Spirit of Wezda / Wee Jean @ 14/1 (3/1 & 11/4 : generally)

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