Stat of the Day, 17th August 2015
No winner on Saturday to cap another fine week, I’m afraid, but certainly no complaints about the run we got for our money at Newbury either.
Pin Up was sent off as 9/4 favourite, having been well supported from my advised 7/2 bet and I don’t think he could have given us much more than he did, ably assisted by jockey Alyson Deniel.
The pair of them looked to have done everything in their power to land the race for us, but on the day, the winner was just too good for them. The presence of Serena Brotherton in the saddle no doubt helped there too.
I wasn’t too downhearted really, Pin Up certainly ran his race and despite the loss we still made a handsome profit on the week, a feat I’d like to repeat this week too, starting with Monday’s…
Where Betfair Sportsbook are offering 5/1 BOG about Andrew Balding’s 2yr old filly, Dancing Star.
Andrew’s record here at Windsor since 2009 is 34 winners from 180 (18.9% SR) for 50.1pts (+27.8% ROI). In maidens, he is 13/68 (19.1% SR) for 4.63pts (+6.81% ROI), whilst his 2 yr olds are 9/32 (28.1% SR) for 19.96pts (+64.2% ROI)
Andrew Balding’s 2yo maidens running at odds of 8/1 or shorter here at Windsor are 6/15 (40% SR) for 10.6pts (+70.7% ROI)
David Probert is in the saddle today and he rides the Balding maidens well, with 79 winners from 450 (17.6% SR) for 180.2pts (+40% ROI) profit and will look to improve those figures on Dancing Star who steps up in trip to 6f after showing some promise in defeat here at Windsor last time out.
That run was, in fairness, her debut and after taking a while to get going, was staying on really well in the closing stages, suggesting a longer trip would be better for her, a thought backed up in her breeding.
Nevertheless, it’s interesting to note that Andrew Balding is very good at getting more from a horse on its second run, as since 2008, those horses trained by Andrew, whose second run is on the Flat after failing to make the frame and beaten by 2 to 10 lengths last time out is : 18/103 (17.5% SR) for 14.9pts (+14.5% ROI).
Of those 103 runners, 2yr olds are 15/69 (21.7% SR) for 39.2pts (+36.9% ROI), whilst those stepping up a furlong are 6/24 (25% SR) for 15.4pts (+64.2% ROI).
His 2yr olds stepping a furllong are 6/21 (28.6% SR) for 18.4pts at an ROI of 87.6% and all this hopefully points a good run from Dancing Star.
Betfair are the best price so far, but you can always…
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REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS