Double Dutch, 22nd August 2015
Chris’s parting shot on Thursday was, “I’m on holiday from Friday, so you’ll be in the very capable hands of Mr Bisogno himself and if anyone can turn this ship around, he can. But before he attempts to do that, I’ll aim to steady things one more time today…”
Obviously, I didn’t read that, and it is entirely my fault for there being no DD yesterday. My apologies again for that oversight on my part. Chris left us with a winner-NR double and, given Zaria was 7/2, that ensured a small profit on the day.
Thursday’s results were as follows:
Zaria : WON at 5/2 (adv 7/2)
Lamyaa : 5th at 9/4 (adv 2/1)
Tyfos : 2nd at 10/3 (adv 7/2)
Salvatore Fury : non-runner (adv 3/1)
Results to date:
654 winning selections from 2323 = 28.15%
206 winning bets in 602 days = 34.22%
P/L : +108.20pts (+8.99% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
Saturday is its usual tricky self, and I’m drawn to this pair…
A material non-runner has given this the look of a match between Mark Johnston’s Templier and Richard Fahey’s Invermere.
Templier drops back to seven furlongs after maybe not seeing out the mile on his second start. He was only a neck second on his debut at this trip and today gets the assistance of Mr Chester, Franny Norton. Johnston and Norton are eight from 25 in the last year when teaming up on the Roodee, and this lad will make a bold bid to improve those stats.
Invermere was also a neck second over seven furlongs on his debut, and sole start to date. That was in a big field of fifteen where may not have quite got home down Wetherby’s long straight. Here at Chester, with the tight turn and shorter home stretch, he has every chance and will also come on for the experience of that début effort.
Tom Dascombe’s horse, Executive Boy, is expected to improve for his first start too, but I make it between this pair.
If we survive the juvenile maiden, we’ll dip into the largely unknown a second time in this National Hunt Flat race. The reason is that there is a solid favourite and an interesting alternative. The jolly is Nicky Richards’ Carenina, who is having her third run over this track and trip and bidding to add a ‘1’ to current figures of 32.
She’s got closer from first to second start, and her chance here depends almost entirely on the match fitness of the newcomers.
Pick of those based on early market moves – and pedigree – is likely to be Philip Kirby’s Tara Time. She’s a sister to the smart Medaille Militaire, and a half-sister to Wahiba Sands. Both that pair would have sauntered home in this company and the strong support suggests she’s above average too. It is a bit of a guess, in truth, but we also have the jolly in our corner and that makes for an attractive pairing.
Alan Swinbank’s Overbury Queen could be the one to give us most to worry about.
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:
Templier / Carenina @ 7.94/1 (7/4 & 9/4 : bet365)
Templier / Tara Time @ 22.38/1 (7/4 & 15/2 : bet365)
Invermere / Carenina @ 8.75/1 (2/1 & 9/4 : totesport, BetVictor, SJ, Betfred – 8.33/1 bet365)
Invermere / Tara Time @ 23.4/1 (15/8 & 15/2 : bet365)