Stat of the Day, 26th August 2015

Stat of the Day

Stat of the Day

Stat of the Day, 26th August 2015

I put Juncart up at 10/1 yesterday and once again we were hit by a Rule 4 deduction, causing our final price to be 7/1, but once again we smashed the SP, which ended up being less than half of our price at 100/30.

This suggests plenty of other felt he was overpriced and/or stood a decent chance and will all have been has disappointed as I was. Messrs Haggas and Cosgrave know far more than I do about race tactics, but I wasn’t convinced yesterday.

Stepping a horse up to a mile for the first time, surely holding it up at the back on heavy ground shouldn’t be the plan? Anyway, that was the plan and it didn’t work. Juncart’s effort when needed was short-lived and not enough and he finished 6th of 9, beaten by 11.5 lengths.

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Avoiding bad ground today and heading for the A/W and the…

8.25 Kempton :

And an 11/4 BOG bet with Corals on Cloud Seven and here are the reasons why…

Since the start of 2010, here at Kempton, Chris Wall is…

  • in all races : 29/146 (19.9% SR) for 178.6pts (+122.3% ROI)
  • in handicaps : 26/101(25.7% SR) for 88.4pts (+87.5% ROI)
  • with Ted Durcan riding : 10/50 (20% SR) for 76.8pts (+153.6% ROI)
  • hcps / Durcan : 9/32 (28.1% SR) for 56.8pts (+177.5% ROI)

Cloud Seven is 2/4 on the A/W to date and 2 from 3 here at Kempton, finishing 211 with a win here last time out over course and distance under Ted Durcan (they’re 2 from 2 together). He’s 2/2 in handicaps and 2/1 over course and distance and that last win/run was his only outing in the last 14 weeks, making him of more interest, because…

Chris Wall’s handicappers running with only one previous (hcp) run in the past 90 days are 48/234 (20.5% SR) since 2008, generating 83.7pts at an ROI of 35.8% with Class 4/5 runners on the A/W winning 13 of 36 (36.1% SR) for 85.4pts (+237.1% ROI).

I’ve taken that 11/4 BOG (5/2 seems the norm), but for a full overview of the market…

…click here for the betting on the 8.25 Kempton

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Here is today’s racecard.

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