Double Dutch, 2nd September 2015
Oh dear. We’re not really getting any rub of the green for DD at the moment. The heavy ground was clearly not a good path to take yesterday as 2/1 favourite Regal Palace finished last in his race, setting the tone for the pair. No sense dwelling on it, so on we go…
Tuesday’s results were as follows:
Regal Parade : LAST at 2/1 (adv 9/4)
Kinglami : 2nd at 11/4 (adv 11/4)
Galuppi : 3rd at 11/2 (adv 9/2)
Tilstarr : 5th at 11/4 (adv 5/2)
Results to date:
662 winning selections from 2357 = 28.09%
209 winning bets in 611 days = 34.2%
P/L : +98.58pts (+8.07% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
Back on terra firmer today, for a mixed double…
We start with a four runner novices’ chase, and a solid favourite in Lily Waugh. Trained by Anthony Honeyball, this lass is capable as she showed when second in a Listed mares’ chase two starts back. Ignoring her run in a Punchestown Festival handicap last time, she has an otherwise very consistent profile, and conditions suit.
Urcalin has to concede seven pounds to the other pair with a chance, by dint of a novices’ handicap chase win, and while that’s a big ask, he is a most progressive type. Winner of three of his last four races, and a very close second in the other – a decent hurdle at Aintree – he looks sure to give his running, something a number of DD picks have failed to do recently.
Our Highlife Dancer selection at Bath last week was undone by an emergent horse with no prior form. Ayla’s Emperor was having only her fifth career start when bounding three-plus lengths clear of her field that day and, though dropping back in trip, she still gets weight from all of her rivals off a basement mark of just 45. Bizarrely, that means she’s actually carrying a pound LESS than when bolting up there, and she’s a rock solid favourite.
Against her is a motley crew, and picking one from many is not straightforward. However, Suni Dancer‘s return to ten furlongs could see her improve. A winner of one of her three attempts at the trip – on similar good to soft ground, and in a higher grade – she’s been in good placed form recently. She was hampered in her run last time, over what was probably an inadequate mile, and I think 6/1 is quite appealing.
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:
Lily Waugh / Ayla’s Emperor @ 4.35/1 (5/4 & 11/8 : BetVictor, Ladbrokes)
Lily Waugh / Suni Dancer @ 14.75/1 (5/4 & 6/1 : BetVictor, Ladbrokes)
Urcalin / Ayla’s Emperor @ 6.14/1 (2/1 & 11/8 : BetVictor, Ladbrokes)
Urcalin / Suni Dancer @ 20/1 (2/1 & 6/1 : BetVictor, Ladbrokes)