Double Dutch, 17th October 2015
A nice 17/1 double on Friday as both Maid of Tuscany and Point of Woods did the business for us and with Nebula Storm finishing second at Fakenham, those of you on the forecast landed a 14.5/1 bonus.
And it was almost the perfect DD day, but Bochart was a length adrift of finishing second at Wolverhampton, but two winners (inc our 700th) and two placers is excellent news from our 650th set of selections.
Friday’s results were as follows:
Maid of Tuscany : WON at 5/1 (adv 7/2)
Nebula Storm : 2nd at 2/1 (adv 15/8)
The forecast paid £15.52 here
Point of Woods : WON at 7/4 (adv 2/1)
Bochart : 3rd at 15/2 (adv 6/1)
Results to date:
700 winning selections from 2506 = 27.93%
223 winning bets in 650 days = 34.31%
P/L : +107.02pts (+8.24% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
Here are the last picks of the week…
After being outpaced on debut and finishing well down the field at Carlisle, Indian Pursuit (15/8 BOG) has finished third in each of his subsequent three starts, the latest of which was four weeks ago over this course and distance, when only beaten by a length and three quarters whilst staying on well from mid-division.
Both the winner, the runner-up and the 8th placed horse (who was 10L further back) have all reappeared and won since that day, suggesting that Indian Pursuit will go well again here, provided he handles the soft ground, although he has raced on good to soft over track and trip two starts ago.
The main rival on form, at least, would have to be the 9/4 BOG Dacoity, who has also finished third in his last/only two outings. He showed plenty of promise when beaten by less than a length at Pontefract over 5f two months ago, finishing a length ahead of Swirral Edge who was a 12/1 winner on nursery debut at Ayr nine days ago.
Dacoity then stepped up to today’s 6f trip for his run at Nottingham, when third once again, but he ran well enough and coped with the soft ground. That experience of stepping up to this trip and also of running on soft will stand him in good stead and he represents a yard with a decent record at this venue.
Poetic Verse is both reliable and versatile, having won 6 races on the level (5 from 13 at 11.5/12 f), so she’s unlikely to be done for pace here. She won over hurdles for the first time at Cartmel last September and won again (comfortably) at Market Rasen on her last effort over timber 11 weeks ago.
She’s been back on the Flat to sharpen up since that run, beaten by just a length in a decent enough Class 3 handicap at Catterick over 1m4f and at 5/2 BOG, Poetic Verse should just have enough to make the most of the 5lb she gets…
…from top weight and 9/2 BOG Bantam, who has taken well to hurdling this year, winning twice and finishing as a runner-up on three occasions, all from just six runs in 2015 (221412). She may well have been beaten at odds on last time around at Newton Abbot, but that was over 2m2.5f and was two furlongs further than she’d been before.
She led until two out that day, before running out of steam and the drop back to 2m is sure to be in her favour here, although it wouldn’t be unfair to suggest Bantam is as high in the weights as you’d want her to be, but that is, of course, reflected in the price.
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:
Indian Pursuit / Poetic Verse @ 9.08/1 (15/8 & 5/2 : Betfred, Stan James & Totesport)
Indian Pursuit / Bantam @ 14.84/1 (15/8 & 9/2 : Betway & Stan James)
Dacoity / Poetic Verse @ 10.38/1 (9/4 & 5/2 : Betfred & Totesport)
Dacoity / Bantam @ 16.88/1 (9/4 & 9/2 : Betway)