Double Dutch, 21st October 2015

Double Dutch, 21st October 2015

I didn’t think there’d be much between Drifter and Bulletproof at Exeter yesterday and indeed, only a length separated the pair after 2m2.5f. Unfortunately, another pair of closely matched runners were a further 6 lengths ahead and we had to settle for 3rd and 4th depsite having travelled well for much of the contest.

So, no double to be had, but personal pride still at stake at Lingfield, where Royal Acquisition saved my blushes by beating course and distance specialist Mossgo by three quarters of a length with our pther runner Dark Profit in fourth place, beaten by a length and a half.

Tuesday’s results were as follows:

Drifter : 3rd at 11/4 (adv 7/2)
Bulletproof : 4th at 4/1 (adv 10/3)
Royal Acquisition : WON at 7/4 (adv 3/1)
Dark Profit : 4th at 9/2 (adv 9/2)

Results to date:
704 winning selections from 2518 = 27.96%
224 winning bets in 653 days = 34.30%

Stakes: 1305.00pts
Returns: 1413.60pts
P/L : +108.60pts (+8.32% ROI)

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These are Wednesday’s selected races…

4.35 Worcester :

I backed the 5/1 BOG Amour D’Or when she last ran and although she was only 5th of 9 runners and beaten by 8 lengths, she put up a pretty good fight for the main part of ther contest, before weakening out of contention late on.

In her favour today, is a 1.5f drop back in trip, a 2lb easing of her mark down to 106 and with absolutely no disrespect intended to the very talented Lizzie Kelly, the booking of Richard Johnson is a positive move. All three factors combined should keep this 4yr old in the hunt, but…

…she’ll probably end up playing second fiddle today, if Lady of Longstone arrives in the same frame of mind as when making all from the 1st (after a reluctance to start) to win over 2m7f here at Worcester exactly a week ago.

She’s been hit with a 9lb rise for that 3.75 length victory which seems a little harsh, but the problem with winners who make all is that you never know how hard they’ve had to try. Her handlers are dropping her back in trip by 3f here, possibly to counteract the stamina demands of the extra weight, but she’s the marginal pick here at 2/1 BOG.


7.55 Kempton :

Grey Morning (2/1 BOG) looks the one to beat here after an impressive win by 6 lengths at Musselburgh last time out, just eight days after he’d failed to reel in a winner over 6f at Catterick.  He has improved for each of his three runs to date ands the step up to this 7f trip seemed to be the key last time and he’s not too badly treated off 82 for his nursery debut, although he does concede weight all round.

If 82 is too stiff for him, however, then it’s possible that Replenish would be the beneficiary. This 9/4 BOG shot might not have won any of his three maiden races to date, but has been a runner-up in his last two outings and was only beaten by Ormito at Haydock last time out. Ormito’s next run was 11 days ago, when he was only 2.5 lengths away from landing a Listed contest at Newmarket, a fair step up in grade from today’s Class 4!

The drop back in trip should help Replenish‘s chances here and I wouldn’t be at all surprised if we didn’t land ourselves a 1-2 finish.

4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:

Lady of Longstone / Grey Morning @ 8/1 (2/1 & 2/1 : Coral, SkyBet & Stan James)
Lady of Longstone / Replenish @ 8.75/1 (2/1 & 9/4 : BetVictor & Coral)
Amour D’Or / Grey Morning @ 16.50/1 (4/1 & 5/2 : Paddy Power)
Amour D’Or / Replenish @ 17.75/1 (4/1 & 11/4 : Paddy Power)

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