Stat of the Day, 26th October 2015
Saturday’s Result :
3.00 Newbury : What About Carlo @ 8/1 E/W BOG : 9th at 7/1 (Slowly into stride, always towards rear)
Monday’s selection runs in the…
Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.
Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.
Derryfadda @ 5/1 BOG
Trainer Richard Ford’s record with horses priced at 6/4 to 12/1 in NH handicaps since the start of 2008 stands at 26 winners from 148 (17.6% SR) for level stakes profits of 38.9pts at an ROI of 26.5%, and with today’s race in mind, those runners are…
- aged 5 to 8 : 21/106 (19.8% SR) for 44.3pts (+41.8% ROI)
- Class 5 : 15/87 (17.2% SR) for 24.4pts (+28.4% ROI)
- ridden by Harry Challoner : 11/66 (16.7% SR) for 34.4pts (+52.9% ROI)
- hurdlers : 11/60 (18.3% SR) for 42.1pts (+70.1% ROI)
And… Richard Ford’s 5 to 8 yr old, Class 3 to 5 handicap hurdlers priced at 5/2 to 12/1 ridden by Harry Challoner are 6 from 22 (27.3% SR) for 39.5pts (+179.5% ROI).
I should also throw in the fact that since 2008, Class 3 to 5 handicap hurdlers, aged 5 to 9, sent out 2 to 5 days after their run, have won 176/895 (19.7% SR) contests for profits of 808.4pts at an ROI of 90.3%, provided that recent run wasn’t their first in the last three months.
And my recommended bet?
A 1pt win bet on Derryfadda at 5/1 BOG with either of Coral, BetVictor, Betfair and/or Hills, whilst Betway are the same price, but don’t go BOG until 10.00am and have a minimum £10 stake to get BOG whilst Ladbrokes will go BOG at 9.00am
I’ve gone with Coral, as they’ll refunds a defeat by up to a head, but to see what your preferred bookie is offering…
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REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS