Stat of the Day, 27th October 2015
Monday’s Result :
2.45 Ayr : Derryfadda @ 5/1 BOG : non-runner (withdrawn due to unsuitable ground)
Tuesday’s selection runs in the…
Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.
Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.
Starlight Symphony @ 4/1 BOG
She comes here in decent nick, having only been denied by a short head last time out, despite conceding 5lbs to a winner who then went on to win again next time out.
Trainer Eve Johnson Houghton’s record in A/W handicaps with horses in the Evens to 12/1 (my usual starting point for all microsystems!) since the start of 2011 is 28 winners from 157 runners with the 17.8% strike rate generating 70.8pts (+45.1% ROI) of level stakes profits. And of those 157 runners…
- John Fahy has ridden 16 winners from 65 (24.6% SR) for 62.9pts (+96.7% ROI) more about John shortly
- Class 5 runners are 13/62 (21% SR) for 42.4pts (+68.5% ROI)
- Here at Lingfield 9/50 (18% SR) for 24.1pts (+48.2% ROI)
I mentioned just there that John Fahy rides this yard’s A/W handicappers very well and he also has a decent record on the EJH string here at Lingfield with 9 winners from 40 rides (22.5% SR) for profits of 72.7pts at an ROI of 181.7% and those 40 runners can be further categorised as follows…
- those running 6f to 10f are 9/35 (25.7% SR) for 77.7pts (+222% ROI)
- Class 4/5 runners are 8/29 (27.6% SR) for 76.4pts (+263.5% ROI)
- handicappers are 8/26 (30.8% SR) for 38pts (+146.2% ROI)
And my recommended bet?
A 1pt win bet on Starlight Symphony at 4/1 BOG with either of 10Bet, Bet365, BetVictor, SkyBet and/or Paddy Power, whilst Ladbrokes are the same price, but don’t go BOG until 9.00am on race day.
I’ve gone with 10Bet, as they’ll refund any defeat by up to a head, but to see what your preferred bookie is offering…
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REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS