Stat of the Day, 31st October 2015

Stat of the Day, 31st October 2015

Friday’s Result :

1.50 Uttoxeter : Out of the Mist @ 3/1 BOG : WON at 11/4 (Mid-division, mistake 2nd, headway before 6th, challenged 2 out, led before last, stayed on well)

Saturday’s selection runs in the…

1.35 Newmarket :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

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Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Banksea @ 11/4 BOG

Why?

Luca Cumani’s horses are finishing the season well with 14 wins from 49 (28.6% SR) for 70.6pts (+144.1% ROI) profit and gives a handicap debut to a horse that was a 33/1 winner on debut at Yarmouth last time out, a little over 6 weeks ago.

And since 2009, Luca’s Flat handicap debutants have won 41 of 165 (24.9% SR) for 61.3pts (+37.2% ROI), and with today’s race in mind…

  • runners over 7f to 1m4f are 41/154 (26.6% SR) for 72.3pts (+47% ROI)
  • those priced 6/4 to 12/1 are 38/146 (26% SR) for 73.3pts (+50.2% ROI)
  • those stepping up a class are 13/56 (23.2% SR) for 2.93pts (+5.24% ROI)
  • those stepped up by 2f are 10/30 (33.33% SR) for 16.1pts (53.7% ROI)
  • good to soft ground runners are 7 from 19 (36.8% SR) for 24.4pts (+128.4% ROI)
  • those ridden by Andrea Atzeni are 7/15 (46.7% SR) for 14.4pts (+95.9% ROI)

I should also add that horses who won at odds of 25/1 and bigger last time out and now run at 8/1 or shorter in the same grade or up 1 class are 136/649 (21% SR) for 107.1pts (+16.5% ROI) since the start of 2010 with Flat handicap debutants winning 13 of 45 (28.9% SR) for 26pts (+57.7% ROI).

And my recommended bet?

A 1pt win bet on Banksea at 11/4 BOG with either of Betfair Sports, Betfred, SkyBet and/or Totesport although the latter don’t go BOG until the morning of the race. I’ve chosen to go with Betfair, but to see what your preferred bookie is offering…

…click here for the betting on the 1.35 Newmarket

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day,

just click here for more details.

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today’s racecard.

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