Double Dutch, 31st October 2015
Only Mine made all over on the far side at Newmarket, but saw a 2 length lead eroded in the closing stages, but thankfully held on to win by a head at 5/2, giving us two shots at landing a decent priced double 15 minutes later at Wetherby.
Unfortunately, though, our two runners finished 2nd and 4th, with the 9/2 Kapstadt going down by just three quarters of a length after failing to reel in a leader who was getting 22lbs from our boy, meaning we narrowly missed out on an 18.25/1 payout, which would have altered the complexion of what has proved to be a difficult month for me.
Friday’s results were as follows:
Only Mine : WON at 5/2 (adv 9/4)
Priceless : 5th at 6/4 (adv 13/8)
Kapstadt : 2nd at 9/2 (adv 7/2)
Hadfield : 4th at 11/4 (adv 11/4)
Results to date:
712 winning selections from 2554 = 27.88%
226 winning bets in 662 days = 34.14%
P/L : +103.64pts (+7.83% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
These are Saturday’s selected races…
The yardstick here and therefore the one to beat has to be Rock On Ruby, a winner of back to back hurdles at Cheltenham around the turn of the year before signing off his last campaign with a runner-up finish at Aintree in the Grade 1 Doom Bar Hurdle.
He may well have been beaten by 13 lengths that day behind Jezki (subsequent winner of Ladbrokes World Hurdle Gr1), a result which is far from disgraceful, but he can be considered unlucky from that run. He had every chance at the last, but a faller badly hampered him and by the time Rock On Ruby recovered, Jezki was gone!
No likes of Jezki here today, so it’s 7/2 BOG about Rock On Ruby for me in this easier task, where the main challenge will hopefully come from Aqalim, who is a very lightly raced 5yr old returning for a seasonal bow, after a decent campaign last time around.
2 from 3 in bumpers and 3 from 7 over hurdles is a good return and with a 3 from 5 record on soft ground, a win and a place from three starts at today’s 3m trip, whilst winning four of six races of 7 to 11 runners. This horse is proven in today’s conditions, his yard always seems to be in good nick and the 5/1 BOG about Aqalim with Bet365 could be massive.
Not quite the same quality as the race above, but still one that needs winning and I expect the 2/1 BOG Hope Cove to do just that. He won a handicap at the second time of asking up at Redcar three starts ago and since then has been the runner-up on both occasions.
Hope Cove was only beaten by a nose when caught late on at Chelmsford last time out on his A/W debut and I think there’s still more to come from Ed Walkers’ runner here in what doesn’t look the best race on the card!
The rest of the field look to be much of a muchness, but there are a couple of potential improvers, like Rosy Morning (who with figures of 210) will be sure to attract money, but I have a slight preference for the 11/2 BOG Kylla Instinct, who also makes her fourth start here today.
Rather than exploding onto the scene like Rosy Morning, Kylla Instinct has been slowly coming to the boil, finishing 6th in a maiden at Kempton, but only beaten by three lengths and she was even closer to the winner next time out at Newmarket, despite finishing 7th of 17. That, however, was a Class 2 contest and when dropped back down in grade, was only a length away at Windsor (3rd ) last time out.
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:
Rock On Ruby / Hope Cove @ 11.94/1 (7/2 & 15/8 : BetVictor & Stan James)
Rock On Ruby / Kylla Instinct @ 31.50/1 (10/3 & 13/2 : Betway)
Aqalim / Hope Cove @ 16.25/1 (5/1 & 15/8 : Bet365)
Aqalim / Kylla Instinct @ 40.25/1 (9/2 & 13/2 : Betway)