Double Dutch, 2nd November 2015

Double Dutch, 2nd November 2015

For the second day in a row, Saturday saw us rattle the crossbar with a winner coupled with a runner-up and our other two runners filling the places immediately behind and not too far away either.

Rock On Ruby was just three quarters of a length clear of Aqalim at Wetherby, but was himself well beaten by 13 lengths by Kilcooley, who in all honesty could have won by a greater margin had he not been eased down.

This, of course meant no 11.94/1 double, but there was at least the consolation prize of a 6.9/1 exacta at Wolverhampton after the well backed Hope Cove led Kylla Instinct home by half a length.

Saturday’s results were as follows:

Rock On Ruby : 2nd at 3/1 (adv 7/2)
Aqalim : 3rd at 7/2 (adv 5/1)
Hope Cove : WON at 11/8 (adv 15/8)
Kylla Instinct : 2nd at 5/1 (adv 13/2)
The exacta paid £7.90 here

Results to date:
713 winning selections from 2558 = 27.87%
226 winning bets in 663 days = 34.14%

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Stakes: 1325.00pts
Returns: 1426.64pts
P/L : +101.64pts (+7.6783% ROI)


These are Monday’s selected races…

2.55 Plumpton :

Colin Tizzard will hope to continue his fine weekend (3 wins and a place from four!) with the 7/4 BOG chase debutant The Cider Maker, who was only beaten by stable mate East Hill last time out. The Cider Maker was making his return from a 165-day break in that race 17 days ago, whereas it was only 18 days after East Hill had come back from a similarly long break.

The Tizzard horses do tend to improve when sent chasing and also seem to fare better on their second run of the season after the cobwebs have been blown away. This one looks well built for chasing and I’d not be too surprised to see The Cider Maker score here today.

There’s not much winning form on display in this contest, but Ya Hafed is only 4lbs higher than when winning over track and trip here two starts ago, so we know he gets the 3m2f if nothing else. His only other attempt over fences since was a modest fourth at Fontwell back in July, but in his defence he lost a shoe that day and was very badly hampered at the penultimate fence.

He did have an unsuccessful crack at a 2m1f flat handicap at Bath on fast ground in the summer before going back to his shed, where he has rested for the past 124 days, but his inactivity shouldn’t be he reason for a defeat, as that afore-mentioned win here over C&D was off the back of a 160-day break and if you think lightning can strike twice, Ya Hafed can backed at 5/1 BOG.


3.30 Plumpton :

Killabraher Cross (2/1 BOG) and Dancing Dik (6/4 BOG) lock horns once again after finishing 1st and 2nd over course and distance here a fortnight ago and I fully expect them to be the first two home again today, with their three other rivals all probably needing a run after absences of 177, 204 and 602 days respectively.

Dancing Dik was the clear leader last time out until he decided to almost just run through the third fence from home, knocking almost all the stuffing out of him, allowing Killabraher Cross to score what looked an unlikely victory at 25/1.

Dancing Dik is 4lbs better off today and an avoidance of a similar mistake should see him reverse the placings to beat Killabraher Cross this afternoon.

4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:

The Cider Maker / Dancing Dik @ 5.56/1 (13/8 & 6/4 : generally)
The Cider Maker / Killabraher Cross @ 6.88/1 (13/8 & 2/1 : BetVictor & Betway)
Ya Hafed / Dancing Dik @ 14/1 (5/1 & 6/4 : Betway & Ladbrokes)
Ya Hafed / Killabraher Cross @ 17/1 (5/1 & 2/1 : Betway & Ladbrokes)

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