Double Dutch, 9th November 2015

Double Dutch, 9th November 2015

Simonsig gallantly failed by just a length and a half to defy a break of 960 days at Aintree on Saturday, taking down our potential 10.38/1 double in the process, but if there’s any room for sentimentality at all in this sport we love, then who could begrudge the old warrior Bob’s Worth a first win in almost two years at the age of 10?

He may well have pipped us to the post, but Simonsig will no doubt reappear soon and win races again and for the record, the double was still on, because Throthehatch was avery comfortable winner by 8 lengths over the Kelso fences earlier in the day.

Saturday’s results were as follows:

Throthehatch : WON at 9/4 (adv 9/4)
Roc De Prince : 6th at 13/2 (adv 4/1)
Simonsig : 2nd at 5/2 (adv 9/4)
Purple Bay : 4th at 6/5 (adv 13/8)

Results to date:
720 winning selections from 2582 = 27.89%
227 winning bets in 669 days = 33.93%

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Stakes: 1337.00pts
Returns: 1431.52pts
P/L : +94.52pts (+7.07% ROI)


These are Monday’s selected races…

1.45 Carlisle :

This race features chase debuts by a couple of excellent hurdlers, wo if taking to the bigger obstacles, should have the run of the race between them.

Silsol (13/8 BOG) won four of his last contests over hurdles and his final effort saw him come within less than three lengths from landing a Grade 2 event on heavy ground over today’s trip at Fontwell back in February. He’s 3/5 at 2m3f / 2m4f, 4 from 7 wearing the tongue tie and loves some cut in the ground and he’d probably be expected to run away with this but for…

…the presence of Seeyouatmidnight (2/1 BOG) who opened his hurdles career with three straight wins, culminating in a Grade 2 win over 3 miles on heavy ground at Haydock in February 2014. Since then, he has only run three times, but made the frame at both Gr1 and Gr2 level and the only question here is whether he can jump a fence and being by Midnight Legend suggests we shouldn’t have too mnay fears on that score!


2.35 Southwell :

Brave Richard (15/8 BOG) is 1112 so far in his short career, all in bumpers and looks an interesting proposition tackling hurdles for the first time. Positves to note are that the last of the three victories came here at Southwell over today’s trip, so he’s technically a course and distance winner, but possibly more telling is the booking of Richard Johnson for the ride. Richard is in great form, her ides this track well and is very good with inexperienced / debutant horses.

As a backup I’m going with the expensive purchase Aqua Dude (4/1 BOG), despite him failing to shine on his run under Rules to date, when finishing 9th of 10, beaten by over 13 lengths in a Class 4 bumper at Ascot on Valentine’s Day. Prior to that run, he had easily won a 3m PTP prompting new owners to pay 150,000 Euro for him and whilst the pricetag is no guarantee of ability, somebody rates him!

4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:

Silsol / Brave Richard @ 6.55/1 (13/8 & 15/8 : Bet365)
Silsol / Aqua Dude @ 12.13/1 (13/8 & 4/1 : Bet365 & BetVictor)
Seeyouatmidnight / Brave Richard @ 7.63/1 (2/1 & 15/8 : Bet365)
Seeyouatmidnight / Aqua Dude @ 14/1 (2/1 & 4/1 : Bet365)

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