Double Dutch, 10th November 2015
A good start to the Double Dutch week as we landed two winners and what was expected to be a 12.13/1 payout, areturn I’d have been delighted with.
However, the BOG kicked in to good effect as both winners were weak in the market, enabling us to settle up at an excellent 16.5/1 courtesy of winners at 5/2 (from 13/8) and an advised 4/1.
Monday’s results were as follows:
Silsol : WON at 5/2 (adv 13/8)
Seeyouatmidnight : 3rd at 5/4 (adv 2/1)
Aqua Dude : WON at 4/1 (adv 4/1)
Brave Richard : 5th at 6/4 (adv 15/8)
Results to date:
722 winning selections from 2586 = 27.92%
228 winning bets in 670 days = 34.03%
P/L : +101.27pts (+7.56% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
These are Tuesday’s selected races…
In races like this where you’ve debutants racing against more experienced runners, I like to take one of each, so here goes…
The debutant is going to be John Ferguson’s smart Flat performer Camborne at 7/4 BOG. A Group 3 winner on the Flat when hitting a career high OR of 114 and is still rated 105 on the level surfaces, so should definitely be good between the hurdles. And the fact he’s now with John Ferguson suggests he’ll have been very well schooled by a yard with a great record with hurdling debutants and they’ve won this race 3 times in the last 4 years.
In opposition, I’m taking Matorico at 9/4 BOG who should find this an easier task than the last two of his three career outings to date. He opened up with a decent runner-up finish in a Class 2 hurdle here at Huntingdon with three of the four horses behind him going on to win since, including Golden Spear who landed a Grade 3 at Listowel in September.
On paper, Matorico has flopped and been well beaten in his two subsequent runs, but closer inspection shows he was thrown into a couple of Grade 1 events and wasn’t totally outclassed/disgraced, despite being well beaten both times and was ahead of the more than useful Karezak in the Triumph Hurdle at Cheltenham earlier this year.
Gores Island makes obvious appeal here at 11/4 BOG, his trainer Gary Moore’s runners are in excellent form, the yard have a really good record here at Lingfield and Joshua Moore rides the course well too, especially on his dad’s horses. The horse himself, is a former course, distance and course/distance winner, who loves thre mud, having won three times from six runs on heavy ground (his last three!), so conditions look perfect for him.
The one to fear, though, is Tresor de Bontee who goes well fresh and now returns from a break of just over 8 months ( he’s 2 from 2 off the back of an absence of 7 to 10 months), he aslo boasts a 50% strike rate on heavy ground (2/4) and is a former course and distance winner. His yard is in good nick with finishes of 221U31 with their six runners over the last week and I’d expect at least another placed finish today at 100/30 BOG.
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows:
Camborne / Gores Island @ 8.84/1 (13/8 & 11/4 : Coral)
Camborne / Tresor de Bontee @ 10.38/1 (13/8 & 10/3 : Coral & BetVictor)
Matorico / Gores Island @ 11.38/1 (9/4 & 5/2 : generally)
Matorico / Tresor de Bontee @ 13.08/1 (9/4 & 10/3 : BetVictor)