Stat of the Day, 12th November 2015
Wednesday’s Result :
3.00 Bangor : After Eight Sivola @ 3/1 BOG : 2nd at 3/1 (In touch, headway to join winner when hit 4 out, every chance next, held when hit 2 out, eased run-in)
Thursday’s selection runs in the…
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Helium @ 3/1 BOG
He has finished 211 in the three handicap chases he has contested since being partnered by Rhys Flint and returning to the bigger obstacles after spending 32 months hurdling and flat racing!
He only lost by a neck on that first run back over fences and that was his first run of any kind for over five months, so it was a decent effort to get so close over 2m 0.5f at Worcester (C4, good) that day. The ground had worsened to good to soft when he returned to the same track and trip a week later and he ran out an 18 lengths winner despite easing down well before the finish.
He then ran again 12 days later (10 days ago) here at Ludlow over this very course and distance and was pretty comfortable when scoring by 4 lengths. He seemed to have plenty in hand and although he’s up in weight again, he’s actually a pound well in at the weights under a 7lb penalty and conditions are ideal here today.
He likes cut in the ground (has won on good to soft, soft and heavy), so stamina won’t be an issue and as I pointed out earlier, he gets on really well with his jockey.
Moreover, he’s trained by Alex Dunn, whose runners in the 2/1 to 10/1 bracket are 20/108 (18.5% SR) for 40pts (+37% ROI) profit to date and these 108 runners are…
- 16/91 (17.6% SR) for 38pts (+41.7% ROI) with male runners
- 17/83 (20.5% SR) for 48.8pts (+58.7% ROI) in handicaps
- 15/71 (21.1% SR) for 44.1pts (+62.1% ROI) with 8 to 10 yr olds
- 14/57 (24.6% SR) for 43.2pts (+75.8% ROI) over trips of 2m to 2m 1.5f
- 2/4 (50% SR) for 6.42pts (+160.4% ROI) here at Ludlow
Alex Dunn’s 8-10yr old male handicappers running 2m to 2m 3.5f at odds of 2/1 to 10/1 are 11/37 (29.7% SR) for 54.9pts (+148.4% ROI).
And my recommended bet?
A 1pt win bet on Helium at 3/1 BOG with either of BetVictor and/or Paddy Power. I’m using BetVictor today, but to see what your preferred bookie is offering…
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REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS