Double Dutch, 18th November 2015
Tuesday’s results were as follows:
Mustmeetalady : 4th at 6/4 (adv 7/4)
Amidon : PU at 6/5 (adv 2/1)
Shaky Gift : WON at 11/4 (adv 2/1)
Oscar Jane : 4th at 11/8 (adv 9/4)
Results to date:
731 winning selections from 2612 = 27.99%
230 winning bets in 677 days = 33.97%
P/L : +96.63pts (+7.14% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
Running late this morning after awaiting inspections etc, but these are Wednesday’s selected races…
Former Point to Point runner Westerner Point just about did enough to win on his chase debut at Sligo over 2m5f two starts ago, with the trip only just seeming long enough for him. So, it was no surprise to see him outpaced to the line when trying to follow up at Tramore over a seriously inadequate 2 miles, just 8 days later.
That said, he did still finish second, beaten by a little more than two lengths, but he has already demonstrated his ability to jump in those two chase contests, as you’s expect from a former pointer and the step up to 2m7f in testing conditions should be more to his liking today, having produced some decent efforts over 3 miles on soft / heavy ground in those PTP races, making Westerner Point of obvious interest here at a generally available 5/2 BOG.
I do like to look for ex-pointers in these tests of stamina and to back up the main selection, we’ll go with the 4/1 BOG Court Frontier, who has one win and two places from four efforts over fences, has already stayed 3m1f in two of those contests. He won’t be fazed by the conditions today, as he goes well on heavy ground and I can see him putting a big race together today.
I know both horses’ recent form is over fences and this is a hurdle contest, but it’s the stamina rather than the jumping that will be key today.
Wakea‘s recent finishes of 488 look uninspiring on paper, but closer analysis shows that they were three runs in pattern races on turf and the drop back to Class 2 and a return to the A/W should be enough to get him back to winning ways. 4th on debut in mid-June 2014, he then finished 12121 in his five outings before the recent attempts at a higher grade.
He’s 3 from 4 on the A/W and 2 from 2 here at Kempton, including a course and distance win from his last visit here and all this makes Wakea look good value at 4/1 BOG with Coral.
His main rival is likely to be Percy Veer (9/2 BOG), who after winning 3 of his last 6 is definitely on the rise and although he’s up 8lbs for a 4 lengths win at Chelmsford last time out, will still be very dangerous at the foot of the weights. And as the only 3yr old in the contest, he gets a very useful weight for age allowance today, which should make him very competitive indeed.
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows
Westerner Point / Wakea @ 16.50/1 (5/2 & 4/1: Coral, SkyBet & Stan James)
Westerner Point / Percy Veer @ 19.63/1 (11/4 & 9/2 : Paddy Power)
Court Frontier / Wakea @ 24/1 (4/1 & 4/1 : Bet365, Coral & BetVictor)
Court Frontier / Percy Veer @ 26.50/1 (4/1 & 9/2: Betfair, Coral & BetVictor)