Double Dutch, 19th November 2015

Double Dutch, 19th November 2015

A winning day of sorts on Wednesday, as we’d a 1-2 finish in race 1 yielding an 8.3/1 exacta before a runner-up and non-runner in race 2.

This meant no double, but we did get paid out on a half point single on our winning bet in race 1, enabling us to walk away with a small profit.

Wednesday’s results were as follows:

Court Frontier : WON at 6/4 (adv 4/1)
Westerner Point : 2nd at 6/5 (adv 11/4)
The Exacta paid £9.30 here.
Percy Veer : 2nd at 4/1 (adv 9/2 = 3.6/1 after R4)
Wakea : non-runner (adv 4/1)

Results to date:
732 winning selections from 2615 = 27.99%
231 winning bets in 678 days = 34.07%

Stakes: 1355.00pts
Returns: 1452.13pts
P/L : +97.13pts (+7.17% ROI)

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Here are Thursday’s selected races…

4.00 Wincanton :

The 15/8 BOG Hopes Wishes comes into this race as the only runner with in their recent formline, as this 5 yr old mare was a winner at Stratford 12 weeks ago, when prevailing by just over 3 lengths on her yard debut for Barry Brennan and with the new handler now having had more time to work with her, further improvement wouldn’t be unexpected.

Hopes Wishes‘ chances are improved (in my opinion, anyway!) by the booking of young Harry Cobden to take the ride, a jockey destined for great things if his start to riding is anything to go by. He still doesn’t have too many rides, so tends to make the most of the ones he does get and with today’s contest being his own action, we can expect him to give it his all.

Getting the best jockeys for this type of race can often be the difference between winning and losing and the installation of in-form David Noonan on the back of the 7/2 BOG rated Maire Rua can only improve the chances of this 8yr old who makes his handicap debut today.

He acts well on soft/heavy ground and has run well enough here in the past, finishing fourth over course and distance in January and although well beaten here over track and trip last time out, it’s fair to assume he’ll have needed the run after 269 days off the track for only his second run in 581 days! He’s only been inactive for almost four weeks this time, so we should get to see Maire Rua in a true light today.


4.55 Chelmsford :

Sunaq was outclassed and well beaten when last seen a little over 7 weeks ago at The Curragh, but in defence of this lightly raced filly, that was a Group 3 contest over 7f and her previous career record had read 1122 before that defeat. She won twice over 6f and then was narrowly beaten twice when not seeing out the step up to 7f and it’s thought that her early speed will be best suited down at 5f today.

Sir Mark Prescott has a great record on the A/W and Luke Morris rides his horses well and all things considered, Sunaq really should be the one to beat here at 7/4 BOG.

Art Collection, on the other hand, has a few more yards on the clock after 7 starts and comes here off the back of a win last time out. That was a month ago when producing a career best performance to win at Windsor at odds of 25/1 and blinkers are applied today for the first time in a bid to get a little bit more from him.

His yard are in fine form at the moment and have a good record at this track, as does today’s jockey and despite a 5lb rise in weights, a similar level of performance from Art Collection should see him there or thereabouts, but more in the 11/4 BOG region this time!

4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows

Hopes Wishes / Sunaq @ 6.91/1 (15/8 & 7/4 : SkyBet)
Hopes Wishes / Art Collection @ 9.78/1 (15/8 & 11/4 : SkyBet)
Maire Rua / Sunaq @ 11.38/1 (7/2 & 7/4 : Hills)
Maire Rua / Art Collection @ 15.88/1 (7/2 & 11/4 : Hills)

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