Double Dutch, 20th November 2015

Double Dutch, 20th November 2015

Another 1-2 finish for us at Chelmsford last night as Sunaq led Art Collection home to reward those doing the exotics with an exacta that paid out at 11/2 and when added to Hopes Wishes win earlier in the afternoon, it meant we emerged from a tricky day with the spoils of a double at 9.31/1, thanks to a nice drift in price for Hopes Wishes.

Thursday’s results were as follows:

Hopes Wishes : WON at 11/4 (adv 15/8)
Maire Rua : 5th at 9/4 (adv 7/2)
Sunaq : WON at 11/8 (adv 7/4)
Art Collection : 2nd at 7/2 (adv 11/4)
The Exacta paid £6.50 here

Results to date:
734 winning selections from 2619 = 28.03%
232 winning bets in 679 days = 34.17%

Stakes: 1357.00pts
Returns: 1457.29pts
P/L : +100.29pts (+7.39% ROI)


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Here are Friday’s selected races from the “Black Country Beach”

6.20 Wolverhampton :

Rebel Lightning has only made one start to date and was slow away and then green early on at Chelmsford over 6f a fortnight ago. He then settled really well, picked up the pace and made up plenty of lost ground and was finishing very strongly when the line came too soon for him, eventually finishing third and beaten by just a length.

He should improve for the experience, he’s got the same jockey on board and the extra furlong here should be to his liking, based on the way he completed the latter stages of that debut run and for me, Rebel Lightning looks the most likely winner at 5/2 BOG here today.

Next best will hopefully be Arize, who has improved for each of his three runs to date finishing 433. Last of four on debut over an inadequately short 5f on soft ground at Musselburgh in April, he was then kept out of the action for six months, before stepping up to this 7f trip to finish 3rd (beaten by 3.5 lengths and the winner has since won here at Wolverhampton) in early October and could very well have needed the run.

His only other outing came three weeks later (3 weeks ago!) when he tackled this Tapeta surface for the first time, finishing third over this track and trip under today’s jockey Martin Harley who has one of the better records amongst jockeys riding this track. Arize was only beaten by two necks that day and a repeat of that effort should see him be there or thereabouts once more at 11/4 BOG.


7.50 Wolverhampton :

Know Your Name looks a different horse since a switch to Eric Alston’s yard, finishing 2212 in four starts over the last 10 weeks or so over trips of 8/8.5 furlongs like today, with the worst defeat in that sequence being a 1.25 lengths reversal to Rocket Ronnie who has won again at this level since.

He’s 1312 on the tapeta here at Wolverhampton with the last two runs being his latest two runs overall, and he was only beaten by half a length last time out with the 3rd & 4th both winning since, suggesting a good run for our money from Know Your Name at 9/2 BOG.

The one he’ll have to beat, though, is Manolito, who also comes here in good nick, seeking a hat trick. He was a winner at Chelmsford over a mile almost four weeks ago and followed that up with a win over this track and trip three weeks ago, so conditions couldn’t be more perfect for him.

He won off a mark of 69 last time and is up 4lbs for the win, but his jockey takes a very useful 7lbs off and with a 3lb weight for age allowance to boot, it won’t be the weight that stops Manolito winning tonight at 11/4 BOG.

4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows

Rebel Lightning / Manolito @ 12.13/1 (5/2 & 11/4 : Bet365 & Betway)
Rebel Lightning / Know Your Name @ 18.25/1 (5/2 & 9/2 : Bet365 & Betway)
Arize / Manolito @ 13.06/1 (11/4 & 11/4 : generally)
Arize / Know Your Name @ 19.63/1 (11/4 & 9/2 : generally)

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