Double Dutch, 21st November 2015

Double Dutch, 21st November 2015

We were a neck away from a third consecutive day of profits after the racing at Wolverhampton last night.

Rebel Lightning was a winner by the very same margin, as Know Your Name lost by, just 90 minutes later and wirth Manolito another neck further back in third place of that race, it certainly highlighted the fine margins between success and failure in this game.

Friday’s results were as follows:

Rebel Lightning : WON at 2/1 (adv 5/2)
Arize : 5th at 5/2 (adv 11/4)
Know Your Name : 2nd at 9/2 (adv 11/4)
Manolito : 3rd at 5/2 (adv 9/2)

Results to date:
735 winning selections from 2623 = 28.02%
232 winning bets in 680 days = 34.12%

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Stakes: 1359.00pts
Returns: 1457.29pts
P/L : +98.29pts (+7.23% ROI)


Here are Saturday’s selected races…

12.30 Huntingdon :

Despite not winning often enough for connections’ liking, Be On Time was a solid dependable performer in France earlier this year, before switching to Jamie Snowden’s yard two starts ago. His last four French runs saw him finish 3232, all on ground rated soft and worse overe trips 1 to 2 furlongs longer than this trip at which he has one win and one runner-up finish here in the UK from his two efforts. Conditions, therefore, should be ideal for Be On Time at 3/1 BOG.

But, as he has a tendency to find one just a bit too good gfor him, we need another pick!

So, we’ll go with Istimraar, who’s an interest recruit to chasing after just two outings over hurdles for new handler Dan Skelton. The horse is no newcomer, mind you, after 13 runs over timber. He only made his debut for the Skelton yard seven weeks ago, but after just two runs, the trainer has decided he’s better suited to chasing and Dan’s a better judge about that than most (especially myself!) and could well have found an opening for the 11/4 BOG Istimraar to win a weak-looking contest.


2.40 Ascot :

And if we’ve got through the first race, I’m playing it safe in what looks (on paper, at least!) a two-horse race. Rock On Ruby (13/8 BOG) is the class horse here and no matter what the conditions, is sure to be involved in the shake-up at the end, providing there are no jumping mishaps, but thee are a couple of areas of minor concern re: trip and going, added to the fact he concedes weight all round, but that said, I can’t see him out of the top 2 with a clear round.

And the only one I can envisage beating him is the 7/4 BOG Brother Tedd who comes here in good form looking for a hat trick, although this is a step up in class for him. He acts well on soft ground and this is the right time to catch him, as he’s 3 from 3 when running in November. This also a new trip for him, but has won at trips slightly shorter and slightly longer than this, so that shouldn’t be an issue and I fully expect a 1-2 from this race, if both runners get round OK.

4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows

Istimraar / Rock On Ruby @ 8.84/1 (11/4 & 13/8 : Betfred & Totesport)
Istimraar / Brother Tedd @ 9.31/1 (11/4 & 7/4 : BetVictor)
Be On Time / Rock On Ruby @ 9.50/1 (3/1 & 13/8 : BetVictor & Betway)
Be On Time / Brother Tedd @ 10/1 (3/1 & 7/4 : BetVictor)

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