Double Dutch, 26th November 2015

Double Dutch, 26th November 2015

A poor day for us on Wednesday, one of those rare no winner days as the best we could muster was a 3rd place coupled with a runner up after defeats of 2.5 lengths for Dubawi Light and 2.25 lengths for Hamelin meant we weren’t even close to landing a 17/1 double.

We don’t hit the doubles as often as I’d like, but a day without even one winner is quite rare and we’ll need to do better today!

Wednesday’s results were as follows:

Dubawi Light : 3rd at 2/1 (adv 2/1)
Fern Owl : 4th at 9/2 (adv 9/2)
Hamelin : 2nd at 5/1 (adv 4/1)
Spanish Squeeze : 7th at 13/8 (adv 9/4)

Results to date:
739 winning selections from 2639 = 28.00%
233 winning bets in 684 days = 34.06%

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Stakes: 1367.00pts
Returns: 1463.42pts
P/L : +96.42pts (+7.05% ROI)


Here are Thursday’s selected races…

2.30 Southwell :

Dougie Costello is 4/14 (28.6% SR) for 42.2pts (+301.2% ROI) on Jo Hughes’ A/W runners this yeat and they team up here with Powered, who is probably better than his UK form of 587 would suggest. He has also ran in France, performing well enough in defeat in better races than this and with an OR of 72, he does seem to have plenty in hand. If running to his mark, this race is there for the taking at 5/2 BOG.

Ginger Joe is also of interest here, as he drops down in class from a 4 lengths defeat at Chelmsford last time out. That was a Class 5 Nursery, as opposed to this Class 5 seller and he went well enough at Chelmsford, despite the 6f trip being too short for him. He’s back at 7f here and inder Sean Levey who rides this track well, he’s sure to be involved at 11/4 BOG.


3.25 Taunton :

This does look like going to one of the three art the top of the market and whilst Ballyegan is proven at track and trip from past exploits, I fear that off a mark of 88, too much is asked of him here, as his last win at this trip was off 75.

So we’ll start with Double Chocolate, who was a winner six weeks ago in a Class 5 chase over 3 miles at Uttoxeter, despite coming off a break of 495 days. This 12 yr old veteran then stepped up in class to get beaten into second place by a potentially very well handicapped runner, but the rest of the field were spred out behind them. Back down in class, off the same mark, should go close at 9/4 BOG.

Dawnieriver, on the other hand, is only 5 yrs old and unexposed over fences after just three efforts. She was a runner-up two starts ago when beaten by less than two lengths and then really should have won last time out but unseated her rider at the last when in the lead at Towcester three weeks ago. Provided there are no repercussions from that incident, she has every chance at 5/2 BOG.

4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows, based on prices available at 8.35am

Powered/ Double Chocolate @ 10.38/1 (5/2 & 9/4 : Bet365)
Powered / Dawnieriver @ 11.25/1 (5/2 & 5/2 : Bet365)
Ginger Joe / Double Chocolate @ 11.19/1 (11/4 & 9/4 : Bet365)
Ginger Joe / Dawnieriver @ 12.13/1 (11/4 & 5/2 : Bet365)

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