Double Dutch, 30th November 2015

Double Dutch, 30th November 2015

An Irish mares’ chase and an A/W maiden aren’t obvious candidates for a successful day at the track, but on Saturday, two such contests combined to give us one of those quite rare perfect full house days at Double Dutch.

That’s 2 winners making a 14/1 double with two runners-up providing exactas at 9.9/1 and 6.3/1 and the icing on the cake for those brave souls doing the forecast doubles, a return of 62.9/1 : nine work if you got that!

Saturday’s results were as follows:

Miss Dinamic : WON at 11/4 (adv 15/8)
Indian Fairy : 2nd at 11/4 (adv 5/2)
The Exacta paid £10.90 here
Lydiate : WON at EVS (adv 3/1)
Alshaquee : 2nd at 5/6 (adv 2/1)
The Exacta paid £7.30 here

Results to date:
743 winning selections from 2651 = 28.03%
234 winning bets in 687 days = 34.06%

Stakes: 1373.00pts
Returns: 1470.92pts
P/L : +97.92pts (+7.13% ROI)

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Here are Monday’s selected races…

2.10 Plumpton :

3m1f on soft ground (heavy in places) is sure to become a test of stamina and that should suit Millicent Silver, based on her past history. She has a decent record on soft/heavy ground and comes here off the back of an 11 lengths victory over 2m 7.5f on soft ground at Uttoxeter a month ago.

She was clear from 2 out and could have won by any margin and was all the more impressive for having been out of action for 191 days, so with the benefit of having had the run and now being partnered by a senior jockey in ideal conditions, I’d expect another bold performance from Millicent Silver at 3/1BOG.

Her main threat looks set to come from the 11/4 BOG Princess Tara, hailing from the Bowen yard which has a good record on this course. The conditions underfoot will pose no problems for a mare who won back to back contests on typically heavy Ffos Las ground earlier in the year. She stays the trip well enough and has no problems with lugging 11st 12lbs around in the mud.

A rising handicap mark (108 to 125 for those two earlier wins) seem to have anchored her of late, but a slight drop back to 122 today and also having had the benefit of a pipe opener 26 days ago from a break of 30 weeks could be just the ticket for Princess Tara here.


2.30 Wolverhampton :

Both individually and as a team, Sir Mark Prescott have good records here at Wolverhampton, especially on the the tapeta suface and that alone piques the interest for Silas R, but closer inspection also shows that this 2yr old was a winner over this trip on his handicap debut last time out (at Chelmsford) and with the prospect of further improvement, looks decent value here today at 11/4 BOG.

Also priced at 11/4 BOG, Ripoll looks the main opposition here. His jockey Adam Kirby rides the track well and this colt is in good nick, having won over 9f by 4 lengths at Kempton 19 days ago, before narrowly failing to land a C&D contest here three days later, when he seemed to idle in front, getting caught on the line. He ran well enough that day and with no disrespect to his 5lb claimer jockey that day, Adam’s more likely to keep the horse working late on today.

4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows, based on prices available at 8.40am…

Princess Tara / Silas R @ 13.06/1 (11/4 & 11/4 : Ladbrokes & SkyBet)
Princess Tara / Ripoll @ 13.06/1 (11/4 & 11/4 : Betfair, Ladbrokes & SkyBet)
Millicent Silver / Silas R @ 14/1 (3/1 & 11/4 : Hills, Ladbrokes & Bet365)
Millicent Silver / Ripoll @ 14/1 (3/1 & 11/4 : Coral, Hills, Ladbrokes & Bet365)

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