Double Dutch, 1st December 2015

Double Dutch, 1st December 2015

From the sublime of Saturday’s perfect DD full house, we arrived at the ridiculous Monday, where I failed to even make the frame from four picks.

We got third and fifth of seven at Plumpton, with our runners well beaten by 21.5 and 65.75 lengths respectively, before heading to Wolverhampton twenty minutes later.

Obviolusly the margins of defeat were smaller there, but 4th and 8th of 12 still represents a poor day for us.

Monday’s results were as follows:

Millicent Silver : 3rd at 11/4 (adv 3/1)
Princess Tara : 5th at 11/4 (adv 11/4)
Ripoll : 4th at 2/1 (adv 11/4)
Silas R : 8th at 3/1 (adv 11/4)

Results to date:
743 winning selections from 2655 = 27.98%
234 winning bets in 688 days = 34.01%

Your first 30 days for just £1

Stakes: 1375.00pts
Returns: 1470.92pts
P/L : +95.92pts (+6.98% ROI)


Here are Tuesday’s selected races…

1.00 Lingfield :

Halo Moon looks a different horse since a switch to Neil Mulholland’s yard and being introduced to fences. He’d been difficult to get right over hurdles for a couple of previous trainers, but has now finished as a runner-up in both runs for his new trainer.

Both runs were here last month on soft/heavy ground, so track conditions are ideal for him and with him stayting on one paced in both encounters, a step up in trip might be all that’s needed for him to open his account at 7/4 BOG

…which is also the same price available for the danger horse, Bredon Hill Lad, who comes here off the back of a soft ground win at Uttoxeter nine days ago, which was his fourth win from eight starts in a 12 month period. Susan Gardner’s horses are 3 from 5 in the last fortnight, all ridden by Lucy Gardner and this one gets on well with his jockey, loves the mud and stays this trip and beyond.


1.30 Lingfield :

And half an hour later, I hope to complete back to back winners with Never Says Never or Sirop de Menthe.

Never Says Never is Anthony Honeyball’s only runner of the day and he has a good record with sole travellers (27/92 = 29.4% SR for 86pts @ 93.5% ROI with hcp hurdlers since 2010) and the horse ran really well nine days ago, when landing a 2m1f contest at Exeter on heavy ground, despite not having raced for almost six months and it was only his second outing in 6 days shorter than 2 years.

If up to the task again today and able to bear the penalty, Never Says Never has a great chance of doubling up at 7/4 BOG, with the 5/2 BOG Sirop de Menthe the most likely to block his path this afternoon. The latter comes here on a hat trick, has won at this track, loves the mud and judging by the way he won by 12 lengths last time out on heavy ground, you’s think he’ll take some stopping.

Like one of our runners in the previous race, he’s from Team Gardner and is 3/7 under jockey Lucy. He runs well when turned out quickly, he has two wins in this grade and the drop in trip will help Sirop de Menthe here, as his best runs have been at this shorter distance.

4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows, based on prices available at 8.25am…

Halo Moon / Never Says Never @ 6.91/1 (15/8 & 7/4 : BetVictor)
Halo Moon / Sirop de Menthe @ 9.06/1 (15/8 & 5/2 : BetVictor)
Bredon Hill Lad / Never Says Never @ 6.56/1 (7/4 & 7/4 : generally)
Bredon Hill Lad / Sirop de Menthe @ 8.63/1 (7/4 & 5/2 : generally)

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