We’ve survived Black Friday, Cyber Monday and other shopping frenzy days invented by US retailers, and we’re now into December and its Christmas madness. Before the craziness ensues, I bring news of a freebie and a couple of excellent value (dare I say ‘cheap’?) reports which are all well worth a second glance.
Let’s start with a couple of topical and very interesting reports produced by the very man who calculates geegeez’ brilliant speed ratings, Peter May. Twice a year, Peter publishes statistical digests covering trainers and sires, flat and jumps.
I’ve actually been meaning to tell you about the jumps ones for a while now. They’re very interesting indeed.
Peter May’s Trainer Statistics
The trainer guide is 471 pages long – just as well it’s digital! – and has five sections to it. The main section covers every trainer to have saddled at least 50 runners in Britain in the past five seasons. For each trainer there is a breakdown by market rank, starting price range, course location, class of course, last time out position, first handicap run, and miscellaneous other things (beaten or winning favourite last time, short or long track absence), and top courses by win percent.
The easiest way to explain it is with a picture. So here’s geegeez-sponsored Anthony Honeyball’s page:
As you can see, as well as the runs and wins, and win percentages, there is also a profit/loss figure to a notional £1 unit stake. So, in the case of Anthony Honeyball above, we can see that in all race types bar non-handicap hurdles, he makes a profit (the data box top right).
That format makes up the main body of the text, but there are four further smaller sections. Section 2 is a look at trainer form at each track by race type (non-handicap hurdle, handicap hurdle, non-handicap chase, handicap chase, NH Flat), and has the same wins/runs/%age/PL presentation.
Section 3 breaks down trainer form by race distance and race type; Section 4 by going; and Section 5 by ‘Time of Year’ (i.e. winter or summer jumps)
This is a great reference text and one I’ve been dipping into a fair bit in recent days. It’s available on Peter’s website for just £6.95 which, if you’re into your trainer stats, is a snip.
Peter May’s Sire Statistics
Similar to the trainer report, Peter’s sire report breaks down the data for each sire to have had at least 25 runners in the Britain in the last five years. Again, the easiest way to explain it is with a picture. So, for all you Midnight Legend groupies out there, here’s his page:
As you can see, each entry is broken down by hurdles and chases, and then by year, distance range, going range, time of year, and track ‘handedness’.
We can see above, for example, that progeny of Midnight Legend seem to be best on soft or heavy, recording healthy win strike rates and profit under such testing conditions.
This is a great reference guide for National Hunt stallions, and the other four sections break down performance by track, going, race distance and NH Flat races. Again, it’s available from Peter’s website, priced £6.95. It’s a treasure trove of insights, and for the serious data-minded player represents a sticking filler bargain buy.
Now then, I also mentioned some free stuff today. Specifically, how would you like a free big Saturday race preview each week? That’s what my mate Nicky Doyle is offering you if you register for his newsletter. He doesn’t bombard subscribers with emails (unlike someone I could mention…!!) and, of course, if it’s not for you, you can unsubscribe at any time.
That’s all for today – good luck!