Double Dutch, 7th December 2015

Double Dutch, 7th December 2015

Saturday was a typical end to a terrible week. Special Tiara was robbed by a last fence collision caused by winner, Sire de Grugy; and then Ballynanty just failed in the second leg. Glad to see the back of the week and turn the page.

Saturday’s results were as follows:

Special Tiara: 2nd at 3/1 (adv 7/2)
Vibrato Valtat: 3rd at 11/4 (adv 2/1)
Ballynanty: 2nd at 5/2 (adv 10/3)
Wakea : 4th at 5/4 (adv 5/2)

Results to date:
746 winning selections from 2674 = 27.9%
235 winning bets in 693 days = 33.91%

Stakes: 1385.00pts
Returns: 1472.3pts
P/L : +87.3pts (+6.3% ROI)

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We start another week with mixed action from both sides of the border…

2.20 Musselburgh:

Gingili is on a remarkable six-timer here, having put together a progressive nap hand in points, bumpers and novice hurdles. One of the most painful absentees from Donald McCain’s loss of his main owner’s horses, Gingili is now with Ruth Dobbin, Tony’s wife. She inherits a horse with two course wins, both in flat races, and one who makes his handicap debut off a mark of 120. The soft, possibly heavy (it’s still raining), ground is an unknown but he deserves the benefit of the doubt at this stage.

One that has seen solid early support is another without public form on soft ground, Mountain Fighter. However, bred to relish conditions and trained by John Ferguson, who tends to know exactly what conditions his horses need, the chance is taken. The longer trip and slower ground should enable Mountain Fighter to step forward, and he’s the only runner on the card for Ferguson and Aidan Coleman. It’s a long way to drive from Newmarket.


4.40 Chelmsford:

Lowly Class 6 action, as perhaps befits a moderate Monday. The favourite, Thermal Column, has been in good form and is slowly improving. This son of Vale Of York (Breeders’ Cup Juvenile winner for Godolphin) has been in the frame in his last five all weather races, a sequence that includes two wins. The slight step up in trip and gradual improvement should mitigate the six pound rise for his last day win, and he must go well again.

The fastest in the field, according to our speed ratings, is Chefchaouen. Beaten just a neck over course and distance two starts back, normal rider Josephine Gordon (an apprentice worth following) is replaced by Jamie Spencer today and that might be significant. This filly has found winning difficult so far, but today represents as good an opportunity as she’s had to date.

4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows…

Gingili / Thermal Column @ 8.36/1 (9/4 & 15/8 : totesport, betfred)
Gingili / Chefchaouen @ 16.5/1 (5/2 & 4/1 : betvictor)
Mountain Fighter / Thermal Column @ 12.75/1 (4/1 & 7/4 : betfair sports)
Mountain Fighter / Chefchaouen @ 24/1 (4/1 & 4/1 : betfair sports)

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