Double Dutch, 12th December 2015
My first day back in the chair went the same day as my last run ended, with an unmatched winner and a 2pt daily loss.
Red Devil Boys was backed in from our advised 5/1 to win at 10/3 over at Doncaster, despite conceding a stone and a half to the runner-up, but that was all in vain, as our runners were beaten by 6 and 15 lengths into 3rd and 4th places at Cheltenham on a track where I couldn’t even pick my own nose yesterday!
Friday’s results were as follows:
Fletchers Flyer : 3rd at 3/1 (adv 7/2)
Vicente : 4th at 13/2 (adv 6/1)
Red Devil Boys : WON at 10/3 (adv 5/1)
Abidjan : 5th at 5/2 (adv 5/2)
Results to date:
751 winning selections from 2694 = 27.88%
236 winning bets in 698 days = 33.81%
P/L : +80.6pts (+5.78% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
Saint Raph (7/2 BOG) has shaped well in his two runs over the last six weeks after returning from an eight month absence, finishing 4th and then 2nd on heavy / soft ground. He looked one paced towards the end of both races, so this longer trip might possibly be better for him. He’s already won on heavy ground, but that’s no surprise as he’s by Saint Des Saints, whose offspring are 31/104 (29.8% SR) for 261.6pts (+251.5% ROI) on heavy.
If running as he did when winning at Ascot three weeks, when he stayed on dourly in soft ground to reel in a toiling leader, then Fruity O’Rooney could well make light work of a 5lb rise in weight. Sure, he’s not getting any younger, but there’s still life in this 12 yr old yet. He’s very good in this grade, gets on well with today’s jockey and has won here over hurdles and has made the frame over fences. Heavy ground isn’t a problem for this old boy and 4/1 BOG might prove a decent price later.
Southfield Royale is a half-brother to Southfield Theatre, who was a runner-up in the RSA chase and this five-year-old also looks to be progressive over fences. He was beaten by half a length at Wetherby in mid-October over an inadequately short 2m 3.5f on his return from a break of 197 days, but returned to that same venue 17 days later to win very easily by 20 lengths over today’s three mile trip on soft ground. His cause is aided by his yard’s excellent record with winter NH runners travelling over 200 miles to a racecourse and he’s the one to beat here at 2/1 BOG.
Next best is likely to be the 11/4 BOG It’s A Close Call, who comes here off the back of a 17 lengths victory on his chase debut last time out, which had followed finishes of 141 in his three hurdles runs before switching to fences. If truth be told, he was a little lucky to win that last race, as he looked held in second a length or so off the pace when the leader fell two out.
But in his defence, he was well clear of his rivals, it was his chase debut, so he should improve for it and it was also his first run for 209 days and whilst he should have finished second that day and he looks second best here, the latest result says anything can happen and it’s worth noting that his yard have won this race in each of the last four years.
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows…
Saint Raph / Southfield Royale @ 12.50/1 (7/2 & 2/1 : Boylesports, Paddy Power & Seanie Mac)
Saint Raph / It’s A Close Call @ 15.88/1 (7/2 & 11/4 : Stan James)
Fruity O’Rooney / Southfield Royale @ 14/1 (4/1 & 2/1 : generally)
Fruity O’Rooney / It’s A Close Call @ 16.5/1 (4/1 & 5/2 : generally)