Stat of the Day, 19th December 2015
Friday’s Result :
1.20 Ascot : Ozzy Thomas @ 3/1 BOG 5th at 3/1 (Always about same pace in mid-division, pushed along when not fluent 8th, struggling after, plugged on run-in)
Matt in the seat for a couple of days as Chris goes gluhwein-supping around the Christmas markets of northern Europe. Saturday’s selection runs in the…
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Reve de Sivola @ 9/2 BOG
The selection almost picks itself, having won the last three renewals of this Grade 1 staying hurdle prize. Ten rising eleven now, Reve de Sivola seems in as good a form as ever judged on his close sixth in a valuable Auteuil G1 last month. He was beaten a dozen lengths further in the same race last year before lifting this prize.
To the stats:
Reve de Sivola has run at Ascot four times, finishing 3111. The 111 were achieved over course and distance in this race the past three years. On none of those three occasions did RdS go off favourite. He won’t again tomorrow.
The softer the better for Nick Williams’ old stick. His record over hurdles on soft reads 122312.
Williams is in very good ‘nick’ (pardon the pun) just now and has a pretty good long term record at the track.
Richard Johnson, who knows the horse well (three wins including this race in 2013), takes the ride. Johnson is in permanently good form this season, and has ridden 23 winners from exactly 100 rides in the last 30 days.
As you’d expect in a Grade 1, competition is hot, led by the rising stars, Saphir du Rheu and especially Thistlecrack; but the pick has been there and got three T-shirts. He could gain an unprecedented fourth on Saturday afternoon.
Reve de Sivola is 9/2 with Paddy, Betfair Sports, and BetVictor at time of writing
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