Double Dutch, 22nd December 2015

Double Dutch, 22nd December 2015

Two nice winners from Matt yesterday, as firstly Dormouse grimly held on to see off a late challenger by just a neck in the opener with our other runner Template the last of four finishers from the eight that set out in a pretty attritional race.

And whilst we were happy to have held on for that win, we weren’t getting too excited here, as we have tended to get a winner most days of late. Converting a winner into a double has been the issue, though, but this wasn’t the case as Anda de Grissay could afford a couple of small jumping errors late on to still win by 22 lengths to complete a good day for DD.

A good day that got better when Anda de Grissay was returned at a drifting 5/2 (from our 13/8) to boost the double’s odds to 18.25/1 and the icing on the cake came for those doing the combination bets with an Exacta that paid almost 11/1 with Twenty Eight Guns finishing second.

Monday’s results were as follows:

Dormouse : WON at 11/4 (adv 9/2)
Template : 4th at 4/1 (adv 3/1)
Anda De Grissay : WON at 5/2 (adv 13/8)
Twenty Eight Guns : 2nd at 7/2 (adv 4/1)
The Exacta paid £11.90 here.

Results to date:
761 winning selections from 2726 = 27.92%
238 winning bets in 706 days = 33.71%

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Stakes: 1411.00pts
Returns: 1490.51pts
P/L : +79.51pts (+5.64% ROI)


2.30 Southwell :

Yul Finegold is probably the one to be on here, a winner in a claimer over course and distance two starts (& 7 weeks) ago before follwing that up with a runner-up finish here in a Class 4 handicap over 1m4f. Although this is the same grade of race, it does look slightly easier on paper and the drop back in trip is sure to help, as his best work has come over 10/11 furlongs.

Yul Finegold has had an excellent year to date, winning four times already and if he gets out and applies the same bold front running tactics as last time out (only collared late on!), the win number 5 of 2o15 could well be on the cards at 5/2 BOG to continue jockey Paul Mulrennan’s fine recent form, which has seen him land four winners and two runners-up from his last eight races over the past five days.

And although not in as good form as he’d like, Mick Appleby’s runners are always in with a shout here at Southwell and that applies to The Lock Master this afternoon, provided he’s not too rusty after a layoff of just over 15 weeks. This wily old campaigner makes his 107th start today and clearly loves it here, winning 6 of 29 at this venue.

He’s 2 from 5 over course and distance, never out of the first two home and with jockey Andrew Mullen also having a good record here, 4/1 BOG about The Lock Master might prove to be a little generous later this afternoon.


3.10 Wolverhampton :

Mops Angel has knocked on the door with two length defeats in each of her last two outings, despite them being six months apart! This former course winner showed little ill effects from that six month break when finishing third here over 8.5f seventeen days ago.

The drop back in trip, the reapplication of cheekpieces, the lack of change in her mark of 60 and the benefit of having had a recent run will all stand her in good stead today and Mops Angel looks a contender here at 4/1 BOG.

The 3 yr old Believe It didn’t show much in two runs for Richard Hannon in May of this year and that was him done until turning out a month ago for new trainer Richard Hughes after a break of 182 days to finish a creditable fourth over 6f here at Wolverhampton.

They went a little bit too quick for him that day, but the extra furlong allied to a lenient looking opening mark should help today. Shane Kelly rides well here and the yard is in decent form and as the trainer’s only runner of the day, we’ll all be hoping for a Believe It win at 7/2 BOG

4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows…

Yul Finegold / Believe It @ 14.75/1 (5/2 & 7/2 : Hills)
Yul Finegold / Mops Angel @ 16.50/1 (5/2 & 4/1 : Hills)
The Lock Master / Believe It @ 23.75/1 (9/2 & 7/2 : Bet365)
The Lock Master / Mops Angel @ 26.5/1 (9/2 & 4/1 : Bet365)

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