Double Dutch, 6th January 2016
The recent agony continued yesterday, when despite a poor day of racing on offer, I felt that all four selections had really good chances and in fairness, they all ran well enough.
Things started excellently for us at Lingfield, as Tempuran drifted out to 5/1 before winning by four lengths ahead of our other runner Todd, to not only give us a decent stake for race two, but also landed us a forecast just north of 16.5/1.
Unfortunately, the final furlong of the 11 proved too much for both our runners and we had to settle for the supporting roles in second and third places.
A winner, two runners-up and a third place from four runners is no disaster of course, but it meant that we saw a 23/1 double slip away again.
Tuesday’s results were as follows:
Tempuran : WON at 5/1 (adv 7/2)
Todd : 2nd at 11/4 (adv 3/1)
The forecast paid £17.52 here to a £1 stake.
Ralphy’s Lad : 2nd at 15/8 (adv 3/1)
Swift Cedar : 3rd at 5/2 (adv 9/4)
Results to date:
772 winning selections from 2766 = 27.91%
240 winning bets in 716 days = 33.52%
P/L : +74.04pts (+5.17% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
Rosealee went close to defying a 193-day absence here over course and distance last time out under today’s jockey (and friend of geegeez) Adam Beschizza. She was entitled to have needed that run after her lay off and after just three starts is still unexposed. She runs off the same mark here today as she did 10 days ago and there was no disgrace in getting beaten by a length by Aguerooo, who has won both his starts since. There’s nothing of that calibre here, suggesting Rosealee can go one better at 15/8 BOG.
The danger looks set to come from the in-form Krystallite, who marked her own comeback after a 150 day layoff by finishing 3rd in a Class 2 contest over this trip at Wolverhampton, before narrowly failing as a runner-up here over C&D (Class 4) amonth ago and since then she has run at Wolverhampton again, winning over this trip 16 days ago off today’s mark, giving Krystallite every chance at 5/2 BOG
It’s almost two years since we’ve seen Pass The Time run on the flat/AW, but she’s not been idle during that time, she’s been developing into a Grade class hurdler, which ensures she’ll have the stamina required to see out this 2m 0.5f trip today. Class 6 racing is far removed from where we normally see her and her undoubted ability allied to a positive jockey bookey of track specialist Adam Kirby suggest a big run for a yard that has done really well on the A/W of late and it wouldn’t be too surprising if Pass The Time took this at 11/4 BOG.
In her way is the 7/4 BOG favourite and LTO winner Mr Boss Man, who was a winner on this track over 1m6f a week ago. He is, of course, penalised for that win, meaning he gives at least 6lb to the entire field (and 10 to Pass The Time) which might well be his undoing here. The trip won’t be an issue, he has won over hurdsles at this distance, he actually stays 3 miles over hurdles and has also completed eight bumpers. Mr Boss Man is a bit short for my liking as a single bet, but as half of a possible double…
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows…
Rosealee / Mr Boss Man @ 6.91/1 (15/8 & 7/4 : Bet365 & BetVictor)
Rosealee / Pass The Time @ 10.5/1 (15/8 & 3/1 : Betway)
Krystallite / Mr Boss Man @ 10.92/1 (10/3 & 7/4 : Stan James)
Krystallite / Pass The Time @ 15.25/1 (10/3 & 11/4 : Stan James)