Double Dutch, 8th January 2016

Double Dutch, 8th January 2016

For the third day in a row, we had the winner/placer combo with an exacta consolation prize!

At Lingfield, Mythmaker held off the fast-finishing Seychelloise who stayed on well but paid the price for racing wide, but had enough to ensure a 1-2 finish for us, giving us the bonus of an exacta a little bigger than 15/2 in addition to the 11/4 winner to take to Chelmsford for the later contest.

And that’s where we came undone. With 100 yards to run, a 10.25/1 double looked very much on the cards, but Burmese Whisper was caught and headed by two rivals late on, eventually going down by half a length. Don’t Blame me was a further three parts of a length back in fourth in the latest instalment of “Close, but not close enough!”

Thursday’s results were as follows:

Mythmaker : WON at 2/1 (adv 11/4)
Seychelloise : 2nd at 3/1 (adv 5/2)
The Exacta paid £8.60 here.
Burmese Whisper : 3rd at 2/1 (adv 7/4)
Don’t Blame Me : 4th at 7/2 (adv 3/1)

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Results to date:
774 winning selections from 2774 = 27.90%
240 winning bets in 718 days = 33.43%

Stakes: 1435.00pts
Returns: 1505.04pts
P/L : +70.04pts (+4.88% ROI)


3.50 Lingfield :

The 100/30 BOG Saint Honore is an in-form 4yo filly, whose last three runs have yielded three wins and a third place. Back to back wins here (1m2f and today’s 1m4f) were followed by another decent effort at Kempton last time out. She gets on well with her apprentice jockey Paddy Bradley, who was on board for that C&D success and the signs are that they’ll go well again today off a mark just 3lbs higher than the winning run.

Classic Mission (11/4 BOG) was also first past the post last time out, but was demoted to second after hanging badly left late on. The race was awarded to the odds on jolly instead and the jockey from that day, Charlie Bennett, now gets a chance to put things right. He was well clear of the rest of the field that day, which was also over this track and trip and with nothing of the “winner’s” ilk here, he could easily make amends today.


6.15 Wolverhampton :

Should Royal Birth succeed in getting home first at 9/4 BOG, he certainly wouldn’t be winning out of turn, after knocking on the door in his last two efforts since winning over 5f at Bath back in September 2014. He was beaten by a neck over this course and distance back in March 2015 after a 172-day absence and then wasn’t seen again for almost 9 months, when finishing second again, beaten by three quarters of a length at Kempton 24 days ago.

Sharper for having had the run and representing a very much in form yard that has a good record on this track, Royal Birth could well get back to winning ways here today, but there is always that nagging doubt that he has started to find one too good for him and that might possibly also be the case here today if the 7/2 BOG Stocking has anything to do with it.

This 4yr old filly is a course and disstance winner from the autumn and ran well last time out to finish third at Chelmsford over this trip 12 days ago. She was only beaten by little more than half a length that day, runing against better horses than this in a higher grade contest. The drop in class for an in-form horse running for a yard with a good record at this venue could well be the key to Stocking‘s success.

4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows…

Classic Mission / Royal Birth @ 10.25/1 (11/4 & 2/1 : Stan James)
Classic Mission / Stocking @ 15.25/1 (11/4 & 10/3 : Stan James)
Saint Honore / Royal Birth @ 12/1 (3/1 & 9/4 : Betway)
Saint Honore / Stocking @ 17.78/1 (10/3 & 10/3 : Bet365 & Coral)

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