Double Dutch, 9th January 2016

Double Dutch, 9th January 2016

Regular readers of this feature can probably write this intro themselves today. One winner from two, consolation exacta/forecast, no double blah, blah, blah.

Saint Honore beat Classic Mission by just a short head in a tight finish at Lingfield with the nearest rival 5 lengths back. A great start, a 100/30 winner and an exacta at 17/2 for good measure, so on to Wolverhampton…

…where Stocking beat Royal Birth by only a neck, but had another five runners in front of him, as he finished 6th at 3/1, some 3 lengths behind the eventual winner.

Where’s that drawing board?

Friday’s results were as follows:

Saint Honore : WON at 3/1 (adv 100/30)
Classic Mission : 2nd at 5/4 (adv 11/4)
The Exacta paid £9.50 here.
Stocking : 6th at 3/1 (adv 7/2)
Royal Birth : 7th at 2/1 (adv 9/4)

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Results to date:
775 winning selections from 2778 = 27.90%
240 winning bets in 719 days = 33.38%

Stakes: 1437.00pts
Returns: 1505.04pts
P/L : +68.04pts (+4.73% ROI)


12.10 Lingfield :

Modernism is a dual course and distance winner, recording the second of those successes on his last outing almost three weeks ago. Giantstepsahead was the runner-up that day and has since franked the form of the contest by scoring himself at Kempton on Wednesday. He’ll need things to fall right for him today carrying an extra 2lbs, but he’s clearly in good nick and at 11/4 BOG could represent some value for backers of Modernism.

Aleator, on the other hand, whilst in with every chance here, looks on the skinny side at 15/8 BOG for singles purposes, but OK as the first leg of a potential double. He ran really well in two placed efforts at a higher grade on this track in November, but disappointed slightly last time out. He was far too keen and did too much early in the contest, before weakening late on.

Aleator eventually came home fourth of seven that day, a place and three lengths behind Modernism, but he’s better off at the weights today, suggesting a closer contest between the two.


2.20 Chepstow :

A pair of Triumph Hurdle trial runners-up should be taking centre stage here with the 2/1 BOG Adrien du Pont shading the vote for me. A win on very soft ground at Enghien in France was followed by a win at Chepstow and then that runner-up finish at Cheltenham four weeks ago. There was no disgrace in getting beaten last time out, as he got to within less than 2 lengths of the 140-rated Sceaux Royal at a time when Paul Nicholls couldn’t buy a win. The yard is now 5 from 10 this year having roared back to form and will seek another winner here with Adrien du Pont.

Coo Star Sivola is the main danger, though. This 100/30 BOG shot is Nick Williams only runner at the track today and Nick has an excellent record on heavy ground, as do horses sired by Assessor. A couple of runs over this trip on very soft ground in France will have prepared this one for today’s underfoot conditions and he acquitted himself well on his UK debut going down by just half a length in Gr2 Prestbury Juvenile Hurdle 8 weeks ago.

He made a couple of errors early on before settling and a better round of jumping could easily see Coo Star Sivola take this, as he still finished 4 lengths clear of a 136-rated rival.

4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows…

Aleator / Adrien du Pont @ 7.25/1 (7/4 & 2/1 : Betfred & Totesport)
Aleator / Coo Star Sivola @ 10.92/1 (7/4 & 10/3 : Generally)
Modernism / Adrien du Pont @ 10.25/1 (11/4 & 2/1 : Betfred & Totesport)
Modernism / Coo Star Sivola @ 15.25/1 (11/4 & 10/3 : Generally)

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