Stat of the Day, 13th January 2016

Stat of the Day, 13th January 2016

Tuesday’s Result :

2.00 Ludlow : Celtic Intrigue @ 7/2 BOG 4th at 9/2 (Tracked leader, led before 15th, headed 4 out, weakened before 2 ou)

Wednesday’s runner goes in the…

2.40 Taunton :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

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Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Top Wood @ 3/1 BOG

Why?

Firstly David Pipe’s male handicappers are 23 from 125 (18.4% SR) for 39.7pts profit (+31.8% ROI) here at Taunton over the last eight years, which is clearly a positive.

Secondly and more generally, over the last five years, his male runners carrying 10-13 to 11-09 over trips of 2m4f to 3m2f are 159/776 (20.5%SR) for 191.2pts (+24.6% ROI), of which handicap races have yielded 101 winners from 568 (17.8% SR) for for 170pts (+29.9% ROI) profit.

Of the 568 handicappers, chasers are 50 from 234 (21.4% SR) for 754.8pts (+32.4% ROI), broken down as follows…

  • Class 2 to 5 : 46/175 (26.3% SR) for 99.1pts (+56.7% ROI)
  • Those rated (OR) below 140 are 47/174 (27% SR) for 108.4pts (+62.3% ROI)
  • On heavy ground : 7/25 (28% SR) for 8.4pts (+33.2% ROI)
  • Here at Taunton : 3/5 (60% SR) for 8.3pts (+166% ROI)

And my recommended bet, based on my data and prices available at 7.35pm is…

A 1pt win bet on Top Wood and that’s at 3/1 BOG with either Betfair, Boylesports, Hills, Seanie Mac and/or SkyBet, whilst Betfred / Totesport offer the same odds, but are non-BOG until morning. To see your preferred bookie’s prices, you can always…

…click here for the betting on the 2.40 Taunton

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day,

just click here for more details.

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today’s racecard.

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