Double Dutch, 15th January 2016
We came within a neck of landing our fourth win inside five days yesterday as Welliesinthewater just failed to overhaul the leader at Chelmsford to secure us a 10/1 return. Our other runner in the race was a further 3 places and 10 lengths back in a field that was surprisingly well strung out after just 7 furlongs.
It’s a pity we couldn’t get that over the line, as we’d already secured a 1-2 finish up at Southwell, where Billy Bond was imperious in winning a one mile contest by a full 13 lengths! Archie’s Advice stayed on to take the runner-up berth and in the process brought us the consolation of a near 6/1 exacta.
Thursday’s results were as follows:
Billy Bond : WON at 6/4 (adv 7/4)
Archies Advice : 2nd at 3/1 (adv 3/1)
The Exacta paid £6.90 here
Welliesinthewater : 2nd at 2/1 (adv 3/1)
Dutch Golden Age : 5th at 3/1 (adv 10/3)
Results to date:
782 winning selections from 2796 = 27.97%
243 winning bets in 724 days = 33.56%
P/L : +84.73pts (+5.86% ROI)
REMINDER: THERE IS NO DOUBLE DUTCH ON SUNDAYS
Pacolita and Al’s Memory were 1st and 3rd home over 7f on Monday at Wolverhampton and with the runner-up not in action today, I’d expect these two to be the prinicpals again here. Pacolita won by a length and three quarters that day and as it was an apprentices handicap, no penalty is added here.
Pacolita (5/2 BOG), however, is drawn 9 of 9 today after being 2 of 12 at Wolverhampton, whilst Al’s Memory (3/1 BOG) moves from 10 of 12 to 5 of 9. The latter has an excellent record at this venue and has won over today’s trip in the past and this allied to the improved draw suggests that Al’s Memory could just shde it over Pacolita today.
This looks a really weak affair, but every race has a winner and at the weights, Strategic Force looks almost thrown in at the weights. He may well have only finished sixth of ten last time out, but closer inspection shows that he was only beaten by three lengths in that 7f contest here last Friday. That was a much stronger contest than this one and based purely on weights/ratings, he’d be the one for me at 2/1 BOG.
Next best at the weights and next best (0.5 lengths behind) last Friday would be the 100/30 BOG Zylan, who I’d also expect to improve upon last week’s outing. Rated 69 and second highest here, is a far cry from last week’s encounter where the average mark was 71. I don’t expect him to beat Strategic Force if I’m honest, especially as he’s 7lbs worse off, but as a former course winner, Zylan should have too much for the rest of the pack and if the main selection fails to shine…
4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows…
Pacolita / Strategic Force @ 9.5/1 (5/2 & 2/1 : Bet365, Boylesports & Seanie Mac)
Pacolita / Zylan @ 14.17/1 (5/2 & 10/3 : generally)
Al’s Memory / Strategic Force @ 11/1 (3/1 & 2/1 : 10Bet)
Al’s Memory / Zylan @ 16.33/1 (3/1 & 10/3 : generally)