Sat TV Trends: 16th January 2016

The C4 cameras head to Warwick for the Classic Chase, plus they take in three other races, while they are also at Chelmsford and Wetherby for LIVE action this Saturday.

Like every week we’ve got all the key stats for the LIVE C4 races – hopefully they might help point you in the direction of a few winners.

Warwick Horse Racing Trends (RUK/C4)

1.15 – Betfred “January Sale” Handicap Chase (for the Edward Courage Cup) Cl3 2m

9/9 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
9/9 – Won a chase race over 2m (or further)
8/9 – Officially rated between 119-128
8/9 – Carried 10-10 or more in weight
7/9 – Priced 11/2 or shorter in the betting
6/9 – Favourites placed
6/9 – Ran within the last 2 weeks
6/9 – Aged 7 or younger
6/9 – From the top 3 in the betting
5/9 – Ran at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (no winners)
5/9 – French bred
5/9 – Winning distance – 2 lengths or less
4/9 – Favourites
4/9 – Aged 7 years-old
3/9 – Had raced (fences) at Warwick before
3/9 – Won their last race
2/9 – Won by trained Venetia Williams
The average winning SP in the last 8 years is 4/1

1.50 – Betfred Mobile Hampton Novices´ Chase (Listed Race) Cl1 3m110y CH4

8/8 – Priced 5/1 or shorter in the betting
8/8 – Ran in the last 7 weeks
8/8 – Won between 0-2 times over fences
8/8 – Placed in the top 4 last time out
6/8 – Won between 1-2 times over fences
6/8 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
6/8 – Favourites that finished in the top 3
5/8 – Won over 3m (or further) chase
4/8 – Won their last race
4/8 – Irish bred
5/8 – Aged 7 years-old
5/8 – Priced 2/1 or shorter in the betting
2/8 – Trained by Alan King
2/8 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/8 – Ridden by Daryl Jacob
1/8 – Favourites

2.25 – Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle (Series Qualifier) Cl2 3m1f CH4

10/10 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
10/10 – WON between 1-4 times over hurdles before
9/10 – Carried 11-0 or less in weight
8/10 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
8/10 – Won over at least 3m (hurdles) before
8/10 – Went onto finish unplaced in the Pertemps Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival
8/10 – Never raced over hurdles at Warwick before
7/10 – Officially rated between 127-142
6/10 – Favourites Placed
6/10 – From the top 3 in the betting
5/10 – Priced 13/2 or shorter in the betting
3/10 – Won their last race
2/10 – Raced at Bangor last time out
2/10 – Won by trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies
2/10 – Trained by Jonjo O’Neill
2/10 – Ridden by Paddy Brennan
2/10 – Favourites
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 7/1

3.00 – Neptune Investment Management Novices´ Hurdle (Registered As The Leamington Novices´ Hurdle) Grade 2 Cl1 2m5f

9/9 – Priced 8/1 or shorter in the betting
9/9 – Won over at least 2m4f (hurdles) before
9/9 – Won between 1-2 times over hurdles before
9/9 – Placed 1st or 2nd last time out
8/9 – Ran within the last 5 weeks
8/9 – Came from the top 3 in the betting
7/9 – Went onto run at that season’s Cheltenham Festival
6/9 – Winning distance – 3 ½ lengths or less
6/9 – Irish bred
5/9 – Favourites
5/9 – Favourites placed
5/9 – Aged 5 years-old
5/9 – Won their last race
2/9 – Went onto win at that season’s Cheltenham Festival (No Refuge, 2005 RSA Novices’ Hurdle, The New One, 2013 Neptune)
The average winning SP in the last 8 years is 10/3

3.35 – Betfred Classic Chase (Handicap) (Grade 3) Cl1 3m5f CH4

10/10 – Ran within the last 6 weeks
9/10 – Won a chase race over at least 3m
9/10 – Ran within the last 4 weeks
7/10 – Aged between 7-9 years-old
7/10 –  Finished in the top 3 in their last race
7/10 – Winning distance – 4 lengths or less
7/10 – Officially rated between 129-140
7/10 – Carried 11-1 or less in weight
7/10 – Winners that came from outside the top 3 in the betting market
6/10 – Won by an Irish bred horse
6/10 – Raced at either Cheltenham (3) or Newbury (3) in their last race
6/10 – Won between 2-5 times over fences before
6/10 –  Aged 9 or older
6/10 – Ran at Warwick (hurdles, chase NH Flat) previously
5/10 – Unplaced Favourites
4/10 – Returned a double-figure price
3/10 – Winners that went onto run in that season’s Grand National (all failed to finish)
3/10 – Trained by Paul Nicholls
2/10 – Won last time out
2/10 – Trained by Alan King
2/10– Ridden by Ruby Walsh
The average winning SP in the last 9 runnings is 9/1

Wetherby Horse Racing Trends (RUK/C4)

2.05 – 188Bet Handicap Chase Cl2 1m7f36y CH4

4 previous runnings
4/4 – Won between 2-4 times over fences
4/4 – Rated between 133-139
3/4 – Raced in the last 3 weeks
3/4 – Aged 7 or 8 years-old
3/4 – Carried between 11-6 and 11-7
3/4 – Ran at Wetherby before
2/4 – Irish bred
2/4 – Trained by Donald McCain
0/4 – Favourites
Venetia Williams has a 27% record with her chasers here
Micky Hammond is only 2 from 33 with his chasers here

2.40 – Asian Handicaps At 188bet.co.uk Handicap Hurdle Cl3 2m3f154y CH4

Just 3 previous runnings
3/3 – Carried 10-9 or less in weight
2/3 – Carried 10-3 in weight
2/3 – Trained by Sue Smith
2/3 – Aged 8 years-old
0/3 – Favourites
Dan Skelton has a 38% record with his hurdlers here
George Moore is just 3 from 46 with his hurdlers here
Trainer John Wade is just1 from 47 with his hurdlers here

Chelmsford Horse Racing Trends (RUK/C4)

3.20 – William Hill Download The App Handicap Cl2 1m2f CH4

No previous runnings
Saeed Bin Suroor has a 67% record with his older horses at the track
David Simcock has a 33% record with his older horses at the track
Dean Ivory has a 22% record with his older horses at the track
Tom Eaves has a 26% record riding older horses at the track

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