Double Dutch, 19th January 2016

On a dire day of racing, we came within a couple of lengths of snatching an 8/1 double at Wolverhampton yesterday. That was the margin of Best Example’s defeat to the impressive Abbey Angel in our opener, before Paddys Motorbike won by a length and a half two hours later.

Close, but not close enough, you could say. The highlight being another good ride from Josephine Gordon to take that second race.

Monday’s results were as follows:

Best Example : 2nd at 2/1 (adv 2/1)
Big Time : 7th at 7/2 (adv 7/2)
Paddys Motorbike : WON at 6/5 (adv 2/1)
Precision Five : 4th at 8/1 (adv 5/1)

Results to date:
785 winning selections from 2808 = 27.96%
244 winning bets in 727 days = 33.56%

Stakes: 1453.00pts
Returns: 1540.40pts
P/L : +87.40pts (+6.02% ROI)

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Today’s Selections…

1.25 Ayr

The bare result tells you that Infrontofthejudge was beaten by 14 lengths when last seen on Boxing Day at Down Royal, but that was his racecourse debut and he was only beaten at 33/1 by an odds on Gordon Elliott jolly, who subsequently reappeared at Thurles last Thursday to win by 7.5 lengths, so there was no disgrace attached to his runner-up finish.

Not only was he the runner-up that day, but the rest of the field were well strung out behind him and a repeat of that effort could well be enough here for a trainer who does well sending runners over from Ireland to the UK and the team will be hoping for a first win for Infrontofthejudge at a generally available 9/4 BOG.

And that 9/4 BOG price is also offered about Sevenballsoffire who was also second on hurdles debut last time out. He was beaten by 13 lengths behind Nicky Richards’ more experienced Takingrisks. Our runner could also have been in need of a run after having a 61 week break between his bumper debut and that run.

In fact he looked tired when making a mess of the last hurdle, but stayed on his feet to prove he stayed 2m6.5f in testing conditions. He should come on for the run and the drop back in trip should also help Sevenballsoffire here.

2.50 Southwell

Based on the moderate opposition here, Marco Botti’s debutant Xceedingly Xcited could have a say in proceedings, but I think she’ll need a run and her breeding suggests this is too short for her, which really leaves me with two closely matched 67-rated fillies…

Miss Goldsmith has improved steadily in her three outings to date to earn that 67 rating finishing 5th, 4th and 3rd getting closer in distance to the winner each time at Wolverhampton. Improvement is expected on handicap debut, providing she handles this new surface, but in the capable hands of Fahey & Bell, she stands every chance at around 9/4 BOG.

This is also a first run on Fibresand for Best New Show representing the in-form David Evans, who has a great record when sending just one runner out. This filly beat Miss Goldsmith by three quarters of a length when they met two starts ago and now 3lbs better of, you’d have to expect Best News Show to be involved late on. She’s generally around the 15/8 BOG mark for this one, which is probably about right, if not slightly generous.

4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows…

Infrontofthejudge / Best New Show @ 8.75/1 (9/4 & 2/1 : Betbright)
Infrontofthejudge / Miss Goldsmith  @ 10.38/1 (5/2 & 9/4 : Racebets)
Sevenballsoffire / Best New Show @ 8.34/1 (9/4 & 15/8 : generally)
Sevenballsoffire / Miss Goldsmith @ 9.56/1 (9/4 & 9/4 : generally)


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