Double Dutch, 22nd January 2016

Thursday went pretty much the same way as Wednesday, I’m afraid. A placer and a 6th place finish in eachj contest and just like the day before the placer were one runner-up and one third place finish.

Honeymoon Cocktail was only three quarters of a length away from being another runner-up in the 1.10 race, but had little chance of winning, after the leader fairly hosed up by five lengths.

So, the later (2.55) race was more about slavaging a bit of pride, but Greyfriarschorista was headed deep insiode the final furlong on the way to a half length defeat.

I suppose the silver lining is that on these wipeout days, we’re still not very far away from getting it right, even if we’re having to take the odd blow to our figures.

Thursday’s results were as follows:

Honeymoon Cocktail : 3rd at 9/4 (adv 9/4)
Horseguardsparade : 6th at 9/2 (adv 7/2)
Greyfriarschorista : 2nd at 15/8 (adv 5/2)
Kung Hei Fat Choy : 6th at 9/2 (adv 5/2)

Results to date:
785 winning selections from 2820 = 27.84%
244 winning bets in 730 days = 33.42%

Stakes: 1459.00pts
Returns: 1540.40pts
P/L : +81.40pts (+5.58% ROI)

Your first 30 days for just £1

Today’s Selections…

12.50 Lingfield

I’ll be hoping that the 7/4 BOG Hot Stuff can live up to his name and continue his recent progression to get us off to a flyer here. Clearly outclassed in the Listed Windsor Castle stakes last June, but considered good enough to take his place there, his connections must feel he’s capable of better than a Class 6 contest like today’s.

Just four starts so far, the best of which was his 0.75 length defeat on handicap debut at Wolverhampton six weeks ago. He may well have needed the run after a 4 month break, but certainly ended the race far better than the way he started it (ie slowly!). Having had the benefit of  that run and also a handicap debut, I fancy Hot Stuff to go one better here.

The inform Kevin Ryan runs an interesting one, Jess, here, but I just feel she might need the run/experience, being asked to make an A/W debut after 159 days away from the track, which leaves me to go with E Fourteen, who was a winner last time out at Chelmsford.

She just about held on to score by a neck over 6f eight days ago, so the step back in trip might not be too detrimental. She does, of course, bear a penalty for that success, but still receives weight all round here. The same jockey as LTO is back in the saddle, aiming to put his 5lb claim to good use again and the experience of that win should hopefully inspire E Fourteen to another good performance at 4/1 BOG (although Coral do offer a little more!)

2.20 Market Rasen

Last night, when I was looking for a few bets to place today I liked the look of both Kalane and Aso, but obviously wasn’t going to back both in the same contest, but here we can!

Kalane was a Listed class winner over hurdles just 10 months ago and made a seamless transition to the bigger obstacles with a 31 length victory on her first attempt almost seven weeks ago. She’s lightly raced, but has already won three from seven and although falling last time out looks to have every chance here.

That fall came at Doncaster 24 days ago, so she’s had time to get over it and it came as she was feeling the pressure of the massive step up in class to Listed company, but she was going well enough contesting third place before coming down four from home. She’s receiving weight all round here and a similar level of performance as her two prior chase starts puts Kalane in with a good shout here at 9/4 BOG if she stays upright (2 falls in 7 races).

9/4 BOG is also the generally available price for Aso (although there’s a bit more on offer at Bet365) and this one has been pretty unlucky in each of his three efforts over fences to date, bumping into one just too good on each occasion. Mind you a chasing form line of 222 is no disgrace as he seeks to rise to his hurdling form which saw him land a Grade 2 contest at Haydock a year ago.

Aso should benefit from the step up in trip, as he has looked to have needed more than the 15.5f to 16.5f asked of him in those three chase defeat. Indeed, his Gr2 hurdles triumph was over 2m3f and he’s closely relayed to French 2m6f winners, so this extra distance today could well be the key for a horse happy in the softer conditions here.

4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows…

Hot Stuff / Kalane @ 8.63/1 (7/4 & 5/2 : Betway)
Hot Stuff / Aso @ 7.94/1 (7/4 & 9/4 : generally)
E Fourteen / Kalane @ 16.88/1 (9/2 & 9/4 : Coral & Ladbrokes)
E Fourteen / Aso @ 16.88/1 (9/2 & 9/4 : Coral & Ladbrokes)


Your first 30 days for just £1
0 replies

Leave a Reply

Want to join the discussion?
Feel free to contribute!

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *