Stat of the Day, 27th January 2016

Tuesday’s Result :

3.25 Wetherby : Throthehatch @ 4/1 BOG 4th at 9/2 (Led to 4th, tracked leader, mistake 3 out when every chance, weakened last)

Wednesday’s runner goes in the…

7.10 Kempton :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Master of Song @ 4/1 BOG

Why?

This 9 yr old gelding was a winner over this trip at Southwell by 2.5 lengths just eight days ago taking his record in A/W handicaps to 5 from 28 (3 from 13 at this trip) and I’ve three angles to go at with this one today…

1.  Since the start of 2012, top rated (OR) males aged 4 to 9 running over trips of 7f to 1m4f in Class 6/7 races are 95/550 (17.3% SR) for 177.8pts (+32.3% ROI) profit ie the best horses in the worst races!
2. He’s also one of my “back to form” horses. These are runners who fail to make the frame for three or more consecutive runs and then suddenly win. Once turned back out within 30 days of winning, they are 81/38/4 (21.1% SR) for 182.2pts (+47.5% ROI) when priced at 5/2 to 11/1 here at Kempton since 2008.
3. And since 2009, Roy Bowring has used 3lb claimer jockeys sparingly well in A/W handciaps with 21 winners from 114 (18.4% SR) attempts, netting level stakes profits of 50.8pts at an ROI of 44.6%, with those priced at 2/1 to 6/1 winning 16 of 35 (45.7% SR) for 56.2pts (+160.6% ROI)

And my recommended bet, based on my data and prices available at 7.30pm is…

A 1pt win bet on Master of Song and that’s at 4/1 BOG with Paddy Power, who are currently the standout price, although 7/2 BOG is available elsewhere. Ladbrokes also offer 4/1 at the moment, but don’t/won’t go BOG until morning. To take your pick of the firms, simply…

…click here for the betting on the 7.10 Kempton

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today’s racecard…