Stat of the Day, 11th February 2016

Wednesday’s Result :

4.35 Carlisle : Captain Redbeard @ 11/4 BOG 4th at 3/1 (Chased leaders, front pair clear 5th, went 2nd before jumping left 2 out, no chance with winner, lost 2 places on flat)

Thursday’s runner goes in the…

6.10 Chelmsford :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I’ll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day’s race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can’t give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

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Who?

Bosham @ 5/1 BOG

Why?

If you want a quick and easy, yet profitable way of backing horses on the A/W, you could do worse than blindly backing Mick Easterby’s male handicappers. Since the start of 2009, these runners have won 92 of 550 races (16.7% SR) for 161.2pts level stakes profits at an ROI of 29.3% and those are tremendous figures indeed.

But using those numbers in respect of this particular race shows us that Mick’s runners are strong in these contests, as they are…

  • 74/469 (15.8% SR) for 164.3pts (+35% ROI) carrying 8-6 to 9-9
  • 81/445 (18.2% SR) for 200.9pts (+45.2% ROI) running 4 to 60 days after their last effort
  • 67/394 (17% SR) for 124.8pts (+31.7% ROI) on Polytrack
  • 46/289 (15.9% SR) for 153.2pts (+53% ROI) in fields of 11 to 13 runners
  • 19/99 (19.2% SR) for 79.5pts (+80.3% ROI) as 6yr olds
  • 6/29 (20.7% SR) for 14.6pts (+50.5% ROI) ridden by Nathan Evans
  • 4/16 (25% SR) for 5.9pts (+36.7% ROI) here at Chelmsford

And in Bosham, the team have a horse well suited to conditions faced here. His overall record of 7 wins from 32 is decent enbough, but closer inspection of his record shows he’s never been out of the first four home from nine starts on the A/W, winning six of the nine! And from that 6 from 9 record, he has achieved the following…

  • 5 from 8 in blinkers
  • 4 from 7 with today’s jockey
  • 4 from 6 in fields of 8 to 12 runners
  • 3 from 5 here at Chelmsford
  • 3 from 5 as a 6yr old
  • 3 from 4 with a tongue tie
  • 3 from 4 at this trip
  • 3 from 4 carrying less than 9-0
  • 3 from 4 in blinkers and tongue tied

And my recommended bet, based on the above data and prices available at 7.15pm is…

A 1pt bet on Bosham and that’s at 5/1 BOG pretty much everywhere, so to pick your preferred bookie…

…click here for the betting on the 6.10 Chelmsford

Don’t forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today’s racecard…

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