Double Dutch, 12th February 2016

No joy yesterday, where a 2-3 was as good as it got. We’ll try again on Friday with this pair of pairs.

Thursday’s results were as follows:

Still Together : 4th at 9/2 (adv 3/1)
Market Option : 7th at 7/1 (adv 4/1)
Chase End Charlie : 3rd at 11/4 (adv 11/4)
Newsworthy : 2nd at 5/2 (adv 10/3)

Results to date:
801 winning selections from 2890 = 27.72%
248 winning bets in 748 days = 33.16%

Stakes: 1495.00pts
Returns: 1570.03pts
P/L : +75.03pts (+5.02% ROI)

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And Friday’s Selections…

3.15 Kempton :

The first of a pair of negative opinions which make the races playable. This four horse race features 2015 Arkle Chase second, Gods Own, up against 2014 Supreme Novices’ Hurdle second, Josses Hill.

Though Josses Hill’s jumping often gets him into trouble, there’s little doubt he’s a classy horse. He also acts on soft ground so, if leaping with any fluency, ought to justify quotes of evens or thereabouts.

But, if he doesn’t, I think Gods Own will find the ground too deep to offer a winning challenge (especially when his main eye is on Cheltenham next month), so Aso, less talented but better suited by conditions, is the back up. And at 5/1 to boot.

5.45 Wolverhampton :

Fairy Foxglove looks a really decent bet here. She’s got her act together in good style lately and turns up in search of a Wolver-hat-trick, still off a lowly mark of 58 in this Class 6. She’s well drawn in four for her prominent running style and, with all of the other fancied and pacey runners drawn wide, she’s worth a couple of lengths head start on them: lengths she might not need anyway.

It’s possible that one of those wide drawn horses will spoil the party, of course, but they’re the wrong price so to do in my opinion. Therefore, I’ll take a chance with the supporting role on a 12/1 poke. Fuel Injection was unlucky in running last time and is better than the bare form. He’s one of the quicker horses in the field on old form, and has a chance to get involved due to those wide horses being out of the way. He’s worth the chance at a very big price.

4 x 0.5pt BOG doubles as follows…

Josses Hill / Fairy Foxglove @ 5/1 (Evs & 2/1 : Betfair Sports)
Josses Hill / Fuel Injection @ 25/1 (Evs & 12/1 : Coral)
Aso / Fairy Foxglove @ 17/1 (5/1 & 2/1 : Skybet)
Aso / Fuel Injection @ 77/1 (5/1 & 12/1 : bet365)


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